"Several major crypto firms have collapsed over the past year, but Bankman-Fried and his team were supposed to be the adults in the room, trying to legitimize crypto by rehabilitating its reputation as a stubbornly immature sector. But it turns out that there are no adults, and no room. "
Love it.
FTX collapse will be used to crack down on US citizens ability to move USD into exchange, for your "protection". I suspect we'll see it within 2 months. Contagion is going to get worse, $$$ lost is bigger than Enron. If you follow the money, I don't think this was an accident. SBF had an "trading" firm that next traded (Alameida) it donated to political organizations.
A -ton- of details coming out, decent thread here if you want to dig in.
I'm aware of the risks with exchanges, I've been harping in this thread for years to hold your own keys. I'm not trying to defend crypto casinos.Anyone who hands over custody of their tokens to an exchange is missing the point of crypto.
You're not getting it. The whole point of crypto is get rid of banks, get rid of fractional reserve banking and get rid of inflation. FTX and other similar companies are just banks, except minus the regulation that stops them from taking your money and using it to effectively print more money though speculative lending and investment.
The government cracking down on "exchanges" that are actually just unregulated investment banks with no deposit protection is a good thing.
Hard to argue against that. Understanding why our money is broken is quite difficult for most Americans. However, in poorer countries that have seen hyperinflation or bail-ins in their lifetimes they get it much faster. US may see an event like this yet in our lives, so I wouldn't assume they can't figure it out. Regardless US citizens will largely be among the last to understand the problem since we're beneficiaries of the current system... to the degree that anyone benefits from it at least.A revolution that most people don't understand is not a revolution. It's just a couple of dudes circle jerking.
For every successful revolution, there are many revolts that fail. The power that breaks the back of the Western central banks won't be bitcoin, since they can illegalize that and snuff it out easy enough in Western countries, it will be non-Western countries abandoing the dollar and going to an energy or gold-backed Yuan or Ruble or some combination there.Bitcoin has -always- been a revolution. Most people don't understand that. January 3rd 2009 was a declaration of war against Central Banks and the ability to create and manipulate capital. Regulation is inevitable, I just wish more people understood what they are losing to it.
My crystal ball is effective as yours, but I disagree. I think history will see Bitcoin as the defining invention of our generation. I think people really discount the value that Proof of Work, combined with the difficulty adjustment + consensus algorithm provide. You can't redo the creation of digital scarcity in a decentralized way, it can only happen once and it already happened. The Byzantine Generals Problem was solved for the first time allowing for trustless consensus. Value can be sent across the world instantly and nearly for free with 0 trust relationships.For every successful revolution, there are many revolts that fail. The power that breaks the back of the Western central banks won't be bitcoin, since they can illegalize that and snuff it out easy enough in Western countries, it will be non-Western countries abandoing the dollar and going to an energy or gold-backed Yuan or Ruble or some combination there.
I get what you're saying, I do. And in an ideal world where the net is neutral and governments are beholden to their citizens, maybe that could happen. But not now. Not in the Panopticon.My crystal ball is effective as yours, but I disagree. I think history will see Bitcoin as the defining invention of our generation. I think people really discount the value that Proof of Work, combined with the difficulty adjustment + consensus algorithm provide. You can't redo the creation of digital scarcity in a decentralized way, it can only happen once and it already happened. The Byzantine Generals Problem was solved for the first time allowing for trustless consensus. Value can be sent across the world instantly and nearly for free with 0 trust relationships.
Bitcoin literally created unique digital value. It ported real work in the physical world (hashing via electricity use) into digital scarcity. People generally don't understand how big of a deal that is.
I agree with you, that's the idea. Bitcoin is a peaceful revolution. The idea behind Bitcoin taking over is that it is so far superior to everything else that adoption will be mandatory for everyone. If you don't adopt you end up like China when the world moved to the gold standard and they stuck with silver.The only way bitcoin takes hold is if there's a popular revolution across the globe
BTC is a public ledger. The FBI and other private entities have gotten extremely good at surveilling all movements on the chain. There's no need for laws when all the bits are just there for everyone to see. It's literally public information.This blow up will be used to cement regulations to fully surveil BTC transaction I suspect.
I don't know all these terms, but realism is not "Doomerism", it's just what is. Ideals are one thing, but when you are thinking about a family, a future, a community you are in. Your investments, whether in real estate, stocks, bitcoin, education, all this is affected by what these nuts do. Look, many many MANY generations before us had it far worse than we did. Acknowledging that is hardly Doomerism. We're not living through the Justininan Plague or the Black Death or the Hun Invasion or the Fall of the Roman Empire. This is not the French Revolution or the Boxer Rebellion in China, which killed more people than anyone can think about. So we should stop with this idea that any criticism of a pollyanna future is terrible. Human history says misery is the norm.It's obviously not a foregone conclusion, but I prefer to bet on the white pill rather than wallow in misery because we're all screwed anyway. Doomerism is pointless