I haven't tried Smoke & Mirrors, however Dylan Blue from what I've been told has a similar profile to Jean Paul Gaultier's Le Male, it's a younger crowd / sweet / 'clubbing' scent. If you look them both up on Fragrantica, they have a handful of similar accords and a couple similar notes.
Based on your location, I would really give the Chanel Allure Homme Sport a try, it's a fresh out of the shower,
citrus, soapy scent with what I would describe as an intoxicating dry down. It's very
masculine. This is not a unisex frag. Hours after my initial sprays I get subtle, but impactful whiffs of vanilla that are out of this world. The dry down also includes
white musk. I'd recommend trying it out in a store, I did a blind buy and it worked out perfectly for me. One of the safest frags year round and it checks three of the four boxes / requirements you mentioned, minus the sandalwood.
One of my most complimented frags, despite it being super popular, I'd call this thing a masterpiece. It's a real work horse, you won't break the bank for a 50ml either.
I agree with the Tom Ford assessment, they are massively overpriced. If you want to go with the real thing, try to find the stuff on discounter sites. A friend of mine let me try a few sprays of the real deal TF Oud Wood and it smelled pretty good after 10 minutes, but it doesn't really last that long considering what you're paying.
Ran for 3-4 hours on me and after that was a skin scent.
Foler
For me, I only buy the real thing, but if you want to try out dupes, there's nothing wrong with that. Just bear in mind, that sometimes dupes don't always match very well, they can come close, but you may be disappointed. That's just something to keep in mind, you may even end up liking the dupe more.
Also on the same page as
sleevedraw
when it comes to Bleu de Chanel, I'd say it's good for late 20's/early 30s and up, you can dress it down, or dress it up, it can work as a great fragrance for formal events considering your weather / temperature down there.