None of that is a price decline that is just asking prices meaning maybe the price growth will slow, THERE IS NO SUPPLY for the 50th time. You guys have made this thread unreadable with this nonsense for so long now. Go back and look over a year ago of the impending doom when people would have to start paying their mortgages that not only didnt materialize prices went up. THe same posters dont question how they were so wrong instead just double down on it.
We are at near record levels of equity in homes, and you chucklefish keep talking about a RE crash. New Home starts are falling off a cliff but somehow even less supply is going to make the prices go down and millennials have just begun establishing new households. Must work for the Whitehouse economic team.
Yet if I asked any of the people saying this, "do you think the dollar is being de valued?" the response would be an overwhelming yes but somehow you then think the most critical hard assets valued against that currency are going to crash. Please make it make sense. This is nothing but missing out angst. People are pissed at RE prices so logically they must crash, hiding the fact all the people saying that are salivating at the chance to BUY and are upset the prices have got away from them.
I don't believe we have any substantive YoY decline in the avg national home price (>5%) and it won't surprise me if we don't get any at all. Even if it were to drop 5% from here it would still be up on the year. It sucks I know, but people really need to stop forming opinions on their feels and what they want the situation to be. Assets that crash are assets that nobody freaking wants at any price. The fact you want them to decline is why they wont.
This is not crypto or some no profit tech company. I don't go buy fagcoin just because it drops 70% because I don't give a shit about fagcoin and it has no tangible value . People are desperate for housing and we are the lowest levels of supply that we have ever seen in our lives. Do the math. What's more likely to happen is even less activity if that is possible. Meaning crazy low level of transactions. This problem doesn't go away until we find away to get a lot more houses on the market.
Affordability will always keep some lid on prices people may be desperate for a home but they still can only afford what they can afford. The net result is no sales, nobody builds anything, nobody moves. It's just a giant pent up demand for any unit that become available that the best off buyers can afford. We under built for over a decade after GFC .
Look at this chart. Realize we aren't even at 1970s level of production of housing units with a much larger population, and then everyone can start making posts that make a modicum of sense. We aren't even producing at replacement+pop growth rate and housing starts are in bad decline right now.
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Some of these parts of the country austin, denver, etc. found the affordability "limit" that is not a pending crash, the voracious buyers aren't gone. The moment becomes affordable they will be right back bidding away. For it to crash you must have aseller who MUST sell and no willing buyer, meanwhile people are sitting on super affordable low interest mortgages and a shit ton of equity.