Investing General Discussion

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Gravel

Mr. Poopybutthole
39,409
129,636
Is it super odd or just my ignorance that different markets are behaving wildly different? Nasdaq strong, S&P breaking out, Dow Jones doing nothing, Russel looks super weak, and financials getting ready to fall off a cliff.
That to me says it's entirely tech driven. Small and mid caps probably getting crushed on the actual news while the big tech companies keep the indices afloat.
 
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Ranak

Molten Core Raider
214
383
Today is the highest my portfolio has been in over a year. I'm sure EOD will slide into tomorrow, though. Been holding a decent amount of small/midcap tech like SOFI/UPST/ROKU/AFRM/FOUR/SHOP that have all bounced nicely the past several sessions.
 
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Fogel

Mr. Poopybutthole
13,137
52,000
It needs to keep ripping, its only up 5% from where it was in september of 2018
 
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Sanrith Descartes

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<Aristocrat╭ರ_•́>
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Surprised the markets didn't dump because of no debt-ceiling deal on Sunday. Guess it doesn't care.
My take is big money understands that we won't actually "default". There is more than enough tax revenues to pay the actual debt (principal and interest). It's those pesky Federal employees who are much lower on the priority list who should start to be feeling their bungholes pucker about a no deal.
 

Sludig

Potato del Grande
9,924
10,575
My take is big money understands that we won't actually "default". There is more than enough tax revenues to pay the actual debt (principal and interest). It's those pesky Federal employees who are much lower on the priority list who should start to be feeling their bungholes pucker about a no deal.
I would love a fed shutdown, we don't get backpay as contractors like feds usually do, but I think I have 170 hours vacation, so I could use a month or 2 to finish getting my farm figured out.;
 
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Sanrith Descartes

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Latest debt ceiling updates. Looks like they are starting to move in the right direction. What is this pharmacy manager stuff they are negotiating?

 

Sanrith Descartes

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<Aristocrat╭ರ_•́>
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Treasury piggy bank down to $60b. It drained $80b over the last week. At last week's rate of spend, it doesnt have enough cash to go another week. Also, dont dscount the impact the Treasury dumping a gazillion dollars of debt on to the market will have on market liquidity as everyone rushes to buy it.

 

OU Ariakas

Diet Dr. Pepper Enjoyer
<Silver Donator>
7,289
20,399
Treasury piggy bank down to $60b. It drained $80b over the last week. At last week's rate of spend, it doesnt have enough cash to go another week. Also, dont dscount the impact the Treasury dumping a gazillion dollars of debt on to the market will have on market liquidity as everyone rushes to buy it.


Assuming the debt limit ceiling is raised (it will be) is a rush to buy new debt a bad thing?
 

Mist

REEEEeyore
<Gold Donor>
31,198
23,373
Priced in.

They just want you to believe those obviously fake pictures are fake.
 

Sanrith Descartes

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Assuming the debt limit ceiling is raised (it will be) is a rush to buy new debt a bad thing?
If you put stock in analysts. BofA says that type of luquidity flush will be the market equivalent of 25 basis point hike...

"That will pull liquidity out of financial markets. In a separate note, analysts at Bank of America recently said that would have an equivalent impact on the economy as a Federal Reserve rate hike of 25 basis points."
 
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Hateyou

Not Great, Not Terrible
<Bronze Donator>
16,640
43,295
Latest debt ceiling updates. Looks like they are starting to move in the right direction. What is this pharmacy manager stuff they are negotiating?


It’s just been an ongoing thing with government and PBMs that has ramped up this year. Federal govt blames PBMs for rising costs, wants price transparency. No one understands the rebate system that PBMs and pharma suppliers use. Nothing new, it’s been going on for years but it has ramped up this year, I’m assuming due to drug prices going up the last couple years but that’s in every industry so idk why they’re focusing harder on it the past couple months.

 

Jysin

Ahn'Qiraj Raider
6,457
4,345
TLT is worth eyeing again. Down to support levels here, but likely gets crushed lower on the flood of T-bills due after the debt ceiling is resolved. This will have a big move to make once we actually pause and eventually start cutting rates. I just dont think it as soon as the market thinks. Good to just layer into trades like these. Last I posted about buying into TLT here we were in the low 90s. It made a good run from there.
 
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Mist

REEEEeyore
<Gold Donor>
31,198
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MSFT is on a pretty epic run, it's gotta regress to the mean a little bit at some point...
 

Sanrith Descartes

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MSFT is on a pretty epic run
PLTR be like... Hold my beer.

1684854514271.png


1684854557394.png
 
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