God, I hope so.years ago someone had warned that something like this would happen where actual people couldn't even step in and it's just a downward, uncontrollable spiral.
Id say theres a lot of rot and bullshit in the stock market/economy.This market collapse is based on nothing. Yeah, the market is forward looking, but what exactly would cause most of these companies to be worth less today than a week ago? Tariffs that are almost all negotiated away already and should now actually give all these companies an even bigger global market?
If we're talking about which places will see real fast rebounds I don't think the energy sector will be it. Oil will bottom out, but for the sector to take off from the standpoint of US O&G companies some regulations need to be nuked, and backed up with legislation. Neither of which I see happening fast, maybe not at all.So instead of just discussing the downturn, start discussing opportunities. Anyone seeing value? Much like covid, quality stocks are being wrecked along with everything else. What's oversold?
I'm starting to look at big oil and the refiners but not seeing anything to my liking yet. Crude under $60 tonight. Might see some fire sales begin in energy sector.
Market generally doubles every 7 years. I'm not sure what the point you're making is, outside of the fact that small and medium cap companies have been significantly underperforming.Id say theres a lot of rot and bullshit in the stock market/economy.
SPY doubled from precorona high in 5 years.
QQQ has gone up 240% from precorona high in 5 years.
IWM on the other hand only went up 43% from its precorona(summer 2018) high.
So instead of just discussing the downturn, start discussing opportunities. Anyone seeing value? Much like covid, quality stocks are being wrecked along with everything else. What's oversold?
I'm starting to look at big oil and the refiners but not seeing anything to my liking yet. Crude under $60 tonight. Might see some fire sales begin in energy sector.
Go larp somewhere else. This thread is for adults.Looking at NVDA, MSFT, APPL today
It seems like for the past 20 years, the global economy is so intertwined that you can't go to some other market to try to avoid a US bear. In fact, in almost every case I can remember, they all go down but the US slightly out performs everyone else. I don't know what would make anything in Europe more appealing right now.I have some more buys for Shell lined up. Dropped 7.5% on friday which I think was excessive. It didn't really blow up last year like all the tech stuff did.
If you believe Trump's plan is to devalue the dollar further like some do (because that would play into his boost US exports plan) it's a good time to hold Euro or GBP stocks.
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Institutional investors who have spent billions on the design of trading algorithms that do all of this automatically. This is fine in general but what happens is that all of these models operate under certain assumptions.Who is "they"?
I was going to start heavily DCA'ing into XLI, XLK, and XLE. But a guy I follow said now isn't the time to buy as we are in a very strong selling channel.Honestly, for most of you that aren’t babysitting portfolios, when you get a 20%+ drop in the major ETFs like we have now, you don’t need to go out picking individual names. Grab some SPY maybe a little QQQ if you want more tech exposure and call it a day.
If you’re trying to time some short term gains <1yr horizon, you’re gambling with a ton of macro uncertainty until this tariff war shakes out.
I guess the obvious solution is to connect the trading machines to the polymarket machines to the voting machines.Institutional investors who have spent billions on the design of trading algorithms that do all of this automatically. This is fine in general but what happens is that all of these models operate under certain assumptions.
When certain value flags occur they do something. This causes an exponential feedback loop as all other algos look for similar signals to do something. When the status quo of assumptions is violated you can't simply call the CEO of JPM to "stop trades" per se as its all automated. There is no one person doing it and there is no one person who knows all of the assumptions designed into the machines.
You are literally speaking to me. Thanks for the reminder. I’ve been buying fxaix but maybe SPY would be good for these highly volatile days(?) I long term hold for context.Honestly, for most of you that aren’t babysitting portfolios, when you get a 20%+ drop in the major ETFs like we have now, you don’t need to go out picking individual names. Grab some SPY maybe a little QQQ if you want more tech exposure and call it a day.
If you’re trying to time some short term gains <1yr horizon, you’re gambling with a ton of macro uncertainty until this tariff war shakes out.
Honestly, for most of you that aren’t babysitting portfolios, when you get a 20%+ drop in the major ETFs like we have now, you don’t need to go out picking individual names. Grab some SPY maybe a little QQQ if you want more tech exposure and call it a day.
If you’re trying to time some short term gains <1yr horizon, you’re gambling with a ton of macro uncertainty until this tariff war shakes out.