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Sanrith Descartes

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Ding dong the bear is dead. S&P 500 exits bear market the fastest in its history. It took it 126 trading days. Dow is still fucked. Down more than 6% from escaping the bear. Gotta love XOM, CVX, BA, INTC and friends acting like anchors.
 
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Sanrith Descartes

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I want to believe this is a troll post but... it is Wallstreetbets.

Screenshot_20200818-221247_Twitter.jpg
 
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Sanrith Descartes

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I mean maybe.....I've been so wrong about TSLA so far. I can see this happening or...when the stock splits tons of people buy them like crazy and the stock goes up. I mean..i guess it will go down just from sheer volume of shares but still.
You dont get the post. Options are adjusted for splits. This person/troll is posting that since the stock is splitting the options will suddenly become worth bazillions as the price "goes down" to its split price. Trust me, it doesnt work that way.
 

Hateyou

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I mean maybe.....I've been so wrong about TSLA so far. I can see this happening or...when the stock splits tons of people buy them like crazy and the stock goes up. I mean..i guess it will go down just from sheer volume of shares but still.

The guy is posting that the puts will adjust the loss on the split, which isn’t how those work. The actual value of the stocks doesn’t go down when they split, they split evenly.
 

Sanrith Descartes

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So the election is about 10 weeks away. I am beginning to wonder the best way to make money on it. Hopefully Blazin Blazin will chime in at some point. My belief is this will be the most litigated election in history. I think it will surpass 2000. Based on the article below, there are nearly 200 existing lawsuits in various states concerning voting changes. This doesn't even scratch the surface of what happens after the voting is completed. I have studied politics for a long time and I can tell you that unless the election is a true blowout and either Biden or Trump absolutely crush it, the lawsuits will be epic.

The market hates uncertainty. In 2000, the S&P 500 fell more than 8% in the 5 weeks that Gore/Bush was being litigated. I am thinking of loading up on SPY puts. Less risky, of course, is to just hold my cash until the election and be ready to start buying quality on discount when the market tanks as we wait to find out who are President will be. Thoughts?

 

LachiusTZ

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So the election is about 10 weeks away. I am beginning to wonder the best way to make money on it. Hopefully Blazin Blazin will chime in at some point. My belief is this will be the most litigated election in history. I think it will surpass 2000. Based on the article below, there are nearly 200 existing lawsuits in various states concerning voting changes. This doesn't even scratch the surface of what happens after the voting is completed. I have studied politics for a long time and I can tell you that unless the election is a true blowout and either Biden or Trump absolutely crush it, the lawsuits will be epic.

The market hates uncertainty. In 2000, the S&P 500 fell more than 8% in the 5 weeks that Gore/Bush was being litigated. I am thinking of loading up on SPY puts. Less risky, of course, is to just hold my cash until the election and be ready to start buying quality on discount when the market tanks as we wait to find out who are President will be. Thoughts?


Personally I'm starting to go back towards cash, but it's in anticipation of housing value falling.

I want those fucking rentals.

Might bail on Tesla, again, since it's up another 30% from where I re bought
 

Sanrith Descartes

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Personally I'm starting to go back towards cash, but it's in anticipation of housing value falling.

I want those fucking rentals.

Might bail on Tesla, again, since it's up another 30% from where I re bought
One thing I would consider if you havent is this... If Biden wins then the odds are high the Dems hold the House at a minimum. The Senate is a toss-up at this point, but Kamala would break any ties. Consider the possibility that a Dem controlled government does some crazy long-term moratorium on evictions/foreclosures. This could really make housing hard to predict and put a real ass fucking on owning rental property.
 
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LachiusTZ

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One thing I would consider if you havent is this... If Biden wins then the odds are high the Dems hold the House at a minimum. The Senate is a toss-up at this point, but Kamala would break any ties. Consider the possibility that a Dem controlled government does some crazy long-term moratorium on evictions/foreclosures. This could really make housing hard to predict and put a real ass fucking on owning rental property.

If that happens the only investment that matters is acreage, food, gas, guns, and ammo.

Wealth tax, retroactive taxes, etc etc.

Your stocks won't help you when they kill the market, then tax your "wealth".

Might do some long puts as well... Might fund my absconding to Poland
 

Sanrith Descartes

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If that happens the only investment that matters is acreage, food, gas, guns, and ammo.

Wealth tax, retroactive taxes, etc etc.

Your stocks won't help you when they kill the market, then tax your "wealth".

Might do some long puts as well... Might fund my absconding to Poland
I disagree with the concept of "kill the market". Dems are bought with the same money that drives the market, just like Republicans. While some of the new, crazy (and poor) members of Congress might think this way, the majority have been there long enough to have gotten exceedingly wealthy being paid to keep the market flowing. They wont slit their own throats. Self-preservation and greed are a part of their DNA.
 

Furry

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Too many signs of inflation for me to like cash. I'm definitely gonna dodge to cash and bonds for the elections, but it will be a brief affair that lasts 2-3 weeks at most (probably less). I'm already clobbering through next years plan with my portofolio, so the dodge will be loss protection more than anything else. Biden winning has too much potential to tank the market imo.
 

Big Phoenix

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Of course they will always support their big mega corps.

Everyone else is going to get fucked.
 

LachiusTZ

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I disagree with the concept of "kill the market". Dems are bought with the same money that drives the market, just like Republicans. While some of the new, crazy (and poor) members of Congress might think this way, the majority have been there long enough to have gotten exceedingly wealthy being paid to keep the market flowing. They wont slit their own throats. Self-preservation and greed are a part of their DNA.

Trump is America

Dems don't even hide they are craving that Chinese dick.

These things aren't the same, and have different impacts.

One of them I'm ok with, and have an understanding of how to work with.

The other I'm not ok with, and don't really know how to work with.

Also one of these will further empower the "kill the rich" antics of their base's cult...
 

Indyocracy

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So the election is about 10 weeks away. I am beginning to wonder the best way to make money on it. Hopefully Blazin Blazin will chime in at some point. My belief is this will be the most litigated election in history. I think it will surpass 2000. Based on the article below, there are nearly 200 existing lawsuits in various states concerning voting changes. This doesn't even scratch the surface of what happens after the voting is completed. I have studied politics for a long time and I can tell you that unless the election is a true blowout and either Biden or Trump absolutely crush it, the lawsuits will be epic.

The market hates uncertainty. In 2000, the S&P 500 fell more than 8% in the 5 weeks that Gore/Bush was being litigated. I am thinking of loading up on SPY puts. Less risky, of course, is to just hold my cash until the election and be ready to start buying quality on discount when the market tanks as we wait to find out who are President will be. Thoughts?

Being a bit of a gambler I had already bought a few SPY puts, 11/20 320 strike but I may have a problem
 

Indyocracy

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I wanted to do a few close to the money and then I have been trying to figure out how otm I wanna go for a few, I was thinking 290
 

Big Phoenix

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Intel doesnt seemed to have learned their lesson....


SANTA CLARA, Calif., August 19, 2020 Intel Corporation today announced it is entering into accelerated share repurchase (ASR) agreements to repurchase an aggregate of $10 billion of Intel’s common stock. Following completion of these agreements, Intel will have repurchased a total of approximately $17.6 billion in shares as part of the planned $20 billion share repurchases announced in October 2019.

Billions and billions more to buying back stock instead of attracting talent and r&d.
 
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