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My investments that would be used for a paid off house are earning 3, 4 or even 5x what my interest rate is. That's the hedge.
Not if you're me!
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My investments that would be used for a paid off house are earning 3, 4 or even 5x what my interest rate is. That's the hedge.
Yeah, I guess I'm just not willing to make that hedge with how volatile our current "ruling class"/leaders are. If you own the home, it's always there to protect against inflation, etc. If I had the capital, I'd be absolutely hoovering assets right now.Because life is a zero sum game. The assets I tie up in a paid off house are alternatively used as an investment.
If we're just adding a miracle $300k for a house to my assets, that's fine. But in real life that means I'm working for several extra years.
Alternatively, I can get a mortgage and the numbers work right now. My monthly payment stays the same (versus rent). My investments that would be used for a paid off house are earning 3, 4 or even 5x what my interest rate is. That's the hedge.
I agree with this assessment, and that was what I meant about spending 500k in the couple years before retirement. I'll have a credit score well into the 800s and what appears to be decent income, so it'll be a lot easier to qualify. I plan on dumping my house and becoming mobile. I'll likely be able to blast that 500k out of the water in one day if I find it financially prudent, but I intend to just let the markets take care of the payments if that makes more sense.There's actually a large argument in early retirement community forums that having a mortgage (the longer the better) during early retirement is one of the best things you can do. It becomes your biggest hedge against inflation.
Oh, I absolutely agree. I remember reading something right around the 2016 election that was very level headed and amounted to "everyone thinks the world is going to end with an incoming President, but we survived Clinton, Bush, and Obama without anything too terrible happening. It was all overblown fear."Yeah, I guess I'm just not willing to make that hedge with how volatile our current "ruling class"/leaders are. If you own the home, it's always there to protect against inflation, etc. If I had the capital, I'd be absolutely hoovering assets right now.
Lurker here, thought I would jump in as the discussion seems quite pertinent to my situation. I'm in my mid 20s and living in London with a well paying job (£2900/month). Currently have about £50k capital, £20k in stocks & £10k in crypto. The rest liquid.
Moved back home at the start of the pandemic due to the room I was renting not being great for home-working etc. Now looking to move back out, specifically into my own place.
Currently thinking of either a) buying a place by liquidating all of my assets, max out my mortgage and even then need to get substantial help from my parents. Or b)Rent an apartment & after expenses have about £1k left a month.
If I do this I figure that I can use my aforementioned assets & try to create compound gains rather than having to start investing from scratch with minimal capital. My biggest thing against this though, is the thought of spending half of my income on rent & having nothing to show for it a few years down the line.
Precisely how I feel. All people can do is give advice, but everyone is going to have their eccentricities and bounds that guide their philosophy. The true answer to what's what is what you like to do. If you want to pull a foler and snort your income as crack, you be you.Knowing I'm doing more to feed myself , having water and power etc and a home that is paid for is how I want to live my life. I don't think there is a right or wrong, if gravel is comfortable with a mortgage then I don't think there is anything wrong with that choice.
As in I will need to take the highest possible mortgage I can - £250k. Cheapest flat I can get will probably be £375k, so still need parents help to buy. Along with I imagine, my first few months salary at least to buy furniture for the place.What do you mean by max out your mortgage? That young I'd put the least amount down and pay the bare minimal payment considering how low interest rates are right now. Anything you put in the market will easily eclipse what you're paying on your mortgage, especially at your age.
As in I will need to take the highest possible mortgage I can - £250k. Cheapest flat I can get will probably be £375k, so still need parents help to buy. Along with I imagine, my first few months salary at least to buy furniture for the place.
By put in the market do you mean invest into an ETF/index fund? Or buying a property?
BABA is your friend.Someone please take away my computer. These Chinese stocks are starting to look good.
What makes you say this? I thought about buying some over a year ago when it was under 200. It would’ve been a good buy back then seeing what it ended up doing but it’s been nothing but downhill for quite a while. I ultimately didn’t buy it because I do not trust China at all and didn’t want to be subjected to their communist whims such as...disappearing the CEO. I’ve decided to steer clear of any company that’s based in China. Communists will do some ridiculous stuff to companies if they feel like it, too much of a gamble for me.BABA is your friend.
I was being semi-facetious. I generally avoid China stocks but BABA is a potential beast with a ton of upside. The reason it is trading down is two-fold. Jack Ma has been a critic of the government and because of this they decided to give him some grief with things like the ANT IPO. Ultimately I believe BABA is China's crown jewel and they arent going to fuck with it... much. They are just reminding Ma who is the boss. ARKK just started acquiring shares in it. With AMZN and WMT near 52-highs, its probably the best value of those types of plays. It is riskier, but that is why its trading at a discount. its 20% below its 200-DMA. That is a ton of potential upside. Even if its only a short term trade and not a buy/hold, a return to the 200-DMA by end of year returns a 40% annualized profit. To me its worth the risk at this price area.What makes you say this? I thought about buying some over a year ago when it was under 200. It would’ve been a good buy back then seeing what it ended up doing but it’s been nothing but downhill for quite a while. I ultimately didn’t buy it because I do not trust China at all and didn’t want to be subjected to their communist whims such as...disappearing the CEO. I’ve decided to steer clear of any company that’s based in China. Communists will do some ridiculous stuff to companies if they feel like it, too much of a gamble for me.
I agree with the potential upside, it’s why I was looking at it back then. I just don’t trust China not to fuck with it. Yeah it’s their crown jewel today but I don’t trust communists to care about a crown jewel when some evil insane dictator decides to tear it down out of communist jealousy or whatever it is called that made them destroy their own businesses, society, people in the past. Good luck with it though, feel free to quote my post when it’s $2,000 a share in a few years and call me an idiot too, I won’t mind.I was being semi-facetious. I generally avoid China stocks but BABA is a potential beast with a ton of upside. The reason it is trading down is two-fold. Jack Ma has been a critic of the government and because of this they decided to give him some grief with things like the ANT IPO. Ultimately I believe BABA is China's crown jewel and they arent going to fuck with it... much. They are just reminding Ma who is the boss. ARKK just started acquiring shares in it. With AMZN and WMT near 52-highs, its probably the best value of those types of plays. It is riskier, but that is why its trading at a discount. its 20% below its 200-DMA. That is a ton of potential upside. Even if its only a short term trade and not a buy/hold, a return to the 200-DMA by end of year returns a 40% annualized profit. To me its worth the risk at this price area.
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I am with you 100% on the China thing. I traded options on NIO for a while and made some money but it was never with the intention of going long. For me BABA is less an investment and more of a trade. I am in at $216 so if it gets on its horse and runs back up to $260+ i'll bail. Its the same with COIN. I am willing to hold them for a while but right now they dont have a permanent place in my portfolio.I agree with the potential upside, it’s why I was looking at it back then. I just don’t trust China not to fuck with it. Yeah it’s their crown jewel today but I don’t trust communists to care about a crown jewel when some evil insane dictator decides to tear it down out of communist jealousy or whatever it is called that made them destroy their own businesses, society, people in the past. Good luck with it though, feel free to quote my post when it’s $2,000 a share in a few years and call me an idiot too, I won’t mind.