Tennis

Szlia

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No matches today because of the rain... I don't remember it ever happening at the French since the clay courts are playable even when there is some light rain. Tomorrow will not be much better and the rest of the week will be overcast with some more rain on Thursday. With the courts unable to dry properly, we will continue to play in slow swamps that favor defenders or people with huge power. This actually cost Nishikori his spot in the quarter final as he was mostly unable to hit past Gasquet or even rush him when playing close to his line. He tried to force the decision and ended up making far too many unforced errors. A pretty inspired Gasquet did the rest. Surprisingly, he reached his first quarter final in his home slam in something like 13 participations.

There is still a number of defenders in the draw (Djokovic, Murray, Goffin, Bautista Agut, Ferrer), but there is also some people able to hit through opponents even in heavy conditions (Wawrinka, Gulbis, Berdych). We have a Gulbis vs Goffin and a Ferrer vs Berdych in store for some nice opposition in styles.
 

Szlia

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So apparently the last whole day without play at the French was 16 years ago! They were close to have it happen two days in a row, as today they barely managed to squeeze 2 hours of play time between the showers. As I mentioned before it "should" not rain during the rest of the week.
 

Szlia

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A little thing to add about this rainy day: 2 hours is the minimum of play time that allows the organizer to not refund the tickets like they had to do the day before...

The matches (re)started during some light rain. This allowed Bautista Agut to win the first set again Djokovic as the serb made a number of unforced error trying to muscle the ball past the spaniard. That's the thing when courts have no chance to dry, they turn into swamps and the balls with the humidity and the wet clay turn into watermelons. Muscling the ball, on top on being a good way to make unforced errors, is also a good way to create injuries and tendinitis. The pro tip is to use rackets that are stringed significantly looser than usual for a more supple impact with the ball and additional power.

This power problem is obviously even bigger on the WTA side of things and the biggest for the tenniswomen who are counterpunchers. Needless to say Radwanska, who resumed today a match she was leading 6-2 3-0 before losing to the powerful Pironkova, and Halep, who lost to the powerful Stosur, were very unhappy in their press conferences.
 

Cad

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Sharapova hit with a 2 year ban for using meldonium. Excessive?
 

Origin

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Djokovic wins career slam and fourth grand slam in a row. Bets on him winning the remaining two of the year plus Olympic gold?
 

Sterling

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Djokovic wins career slam and fourth grand slam in a row. Bets on him winning the remaining two of the year plus Olympic gold?
There's certainly a very real chance this happens. Hard to count on due to the shear amount of little injuries and stuff that can derail something like this though.
 

Szlia

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At the start of every event, he is without a doubt the favorite. That being said, the glorious uncertainty of sport can easily manifest itself on grass (even if it's not as fast as it used to be) and at the Olympics since it's a best of three sets format. And no so long ago we had a Cilic vs Nishikori US Open final (the only Grand Slam final without a member of the Big Four since Gaudio beat Coria at the French in... 2004. Yep.)

With Nadal probably not competing in Wimbledon and probably not competitive for the Olympics, and Federer with a question mark on his back (pun!), that only bolsters his odds.
 

Szlia

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I saw just about nothing and will maybe only catch an hour or two here and there during the week
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Glad for Querrey who always sounded like a nice bloke to me and who often found himself in close matches against top players that he lost in the end. Not this time!

That blows the draw wide open really as you can name a dozen guys still in the draw that could realistically lift the trophy. Murray is obviously leading the pack, but even a so-so Federer is tough to beat and then you have guys who won grand slams or reached finals like Berdych, Tsonga, Cilic, Nishikori or even Del Potro who found again a very high level of play. And behind that you have very tough nuts to crack on grass like Raonic, Isner, Kyrgios, but also Mahut, Lopez, Querrey, Tomic or, in a different style, Gasquet... And Johnson is playing great on the back of a grass tournament win!

This morning it was like "Yeah Djokovic will just win three sets today and probably win the title, unless Muray somehow reaches the final and summon his best self." and through the afternoon it went from these 1.5 potential winners to 16!
 

Szlia

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Just saw the two first sets of Federer vs Johnson and the aftershock I feared after the opening of the draw did not happen. Oddly, the elimination of Djokovic is a bit the tree that hides the forest, because there is only 3 of the top 8 seeds in the quarter finals!

QUERREYwon in straight sets against Mahut so suffered no hangover from his great win. I kinda expected that because he sounded very level headed in his press conference (to the tune of "I won, it's great, but the important part for now is that the tournament goes on")
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RAONICwon in five sets against Goffin. The match was only 3 hours long, but he fought back from two sets to love down, so it might have taken a toll mentally.

The favorite on paper is obviously Raonic, but considering the similarities in play style, it could very well be a super close game that will get decided by a point or two here and there unless one of the two has an off day on serve or a hot day on return.


FEDERERas mentioned won in straight sets against Johnson with some high quality stuff, but possibly helped by a slightly off color Johnson.
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CILICsteamrolled an injured Nishikori (again) until the japanese withdrew near the end of the 2nd set.

It's not too clear at what level is Cilic playing currently. He beat Baker, Lacko and Stakhovsky, only losing a tie-break set to the later. These are quality players, but none of them are exactly at the top of their game at the moment. Then he busted the ghost of Nishikori... still, Cilic faced very few break points on the way to the quarter final so I guess the serve is working well at least. If the croatian enters his US Open beast mode, Federer will be in trouble, but in any case, as the swiss is not exactly surfing a wave of confidence, this should be a close match.


POUILLE, the unexpected young frenchman with a big game edged past Tomic in five sets.
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A CZECH GUY. Not sure which one as Vesely and Berdych got stopped by the night at two sets all.

While not heralded (yet), Pouille is a dangerous player with a good serve and big ground strokes who is consistenty climbing up the rankings (seeded 32 for this event). After two relatively easy rounds, he outlasted Del Potro who showed some great tennis against Wawrinka and beating Tomic on grass is no small feat, even if the australian is not the best competitor. Can he go on? Because of the experience factor, he would rather play against Vesely than against Berdych.


TSONGAjust played 6 games to beat Gasquet as his compatriot retired. He will certainly not complain as the round before it took him 4 hours and 20ish minutes to beat Isner 19-17 in the fifth!
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MURRAYwas expected to be tested by Kyrgios, but it did not happen. The scott manufactured 13 break points while conceding none and converted 4 for a straight sets victory.

Not too sure what Tsonga's level is as he did not play on grass before Wimbledon. But we do know that Murray is in very fine form. I mean the guy only lost 6 matches this year and three of those were against Djokovic with a fourth being against Nadal on clay. There is no doubt that he is the favorite for the title (even if he lost his last five matches against Federer).
 

Rod-138

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RAONIC won in five sets against Goffin. The match was only 3 hours long, but he fought back from two sets to love down, so it might have taken a toll mentally.

The favorite on paper is obviously Raonic, but considering the similarities in play style, it could very well be a super close game that will get decided by a point or two here and there unless one of the two has an off day on serve or a hot day on return.


Watched this one. Was crazy to see how a guy so reliant on his serve can turn a match once it starts landing.
 

Szlia

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The czech guy will be Berdych. He broke early in the fifth, but Vesely managed to get the break back, but just when we thought the underdog had all the momentum (Berdych failed to convert 5 match points in the 4th set the day before and now let his advantage slip in the fifth?) he crapped the bed monumentally and, I think did not win another game? Odd stuff.

Berdych will face Pouille, but apparently the french youngster twisted his ankle in the 2nd set of his match against Tomic and played 3 sets and a half in pain after that, so it's not clear in what shape he will be tomorrow.
 

taebin

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Praise Federer. Think one of my biggest regrets is never having seen him play in a Slam. If he makes it past Raonic, the Murray final will be epic.
 

Araxen

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I had to go to school at the end of the 2nd set and I'm so glad he came back and won! He can do it!!
 

Szlia

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I only got to see the fifth set of the Federer vs Cilic match. I am not too sure what happened before, but I was surprised to see how passive Federer was on the return games, happy to just stay in the rally and counter-punch or pass Cilic. Thanks to a good bit of help from Cilic, that was enough. In the press conference Federer said he was very happy of the way he reacted physically and mentally to the challenge in a match that reminded him of his come back from two sets to love down against Haas at the French Open the year both Nadal and Djokovic got eliminated early.

In the surprise category, it seems this year a lot of aggressive baseliner decided that going to the net is the thing to do at Wimbledon. Querrey (who lost today), Raonic and Berdych got a lot of success with it. I am not convinced that will still work against a Murray who is an expert at passing people and a Federer who is the most experienced in this kind of "who will be able to go to the net first" matches. Also surprising, the fact that Tsonga who melted in the second set against Murray after losing the first set breaker found a way from a break down in the third to turn the match around and force a decider! The frenchman had all the momentum but Murray said "nope" and bagged the 5th 6-1!

Two usual suspects, a former finalist and the best ranked youngster... not a bad line-up for the semi-finals. Will the usual suspects meet in the final or will things be a little more exotic than that? We'll get the answer on Friday.
 

Szlia

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As expected, Murray was not troubled by Berdych. The other semi between Federer and Raonic was a less straight forward affair. Federer could not recover from an early break in the first set that he nicely gifted to Raonic with a double fault. Still, the swiss had half-chances in several return game so it felt like breaking the Raonic sever could happen. In the second set, the possibility became very real as Federer manufactured break points in a couple return game. On these four occasions, Raonic came up with good serves or, once in a rally, Federer proved a bit too passive.

It's always something difficult to balance right. On one hand, Raonic was making a number of unforced errors, so giving him the opportunity to miss is a legitimate strategy. On the other hand, if he does not miss, it feels like a wasted opportunity. The problem as whole in the match is that a number of time Federer was too passive and found himself defending and not manufacturing enough meaningful passing shots (despite Raonic's less than stellar volleying skills) and when he decided to be aggressive he often made poor choices (most notably, trying to wrong foot Raonic with approach shots down the line instead of making use of the open court - I understand that in Net Play 101 on grass you want to do that to have better coverage and weak replies, but if you never go to the open court, you never wrong foot people so the replies are not so weak. On top of that, off short balls, you can play with so much angle going in the open court that it's a winner 9 times out of 10, so you just say 'Bravo' if the guy scores a winner off a Hail Mary running forehand passing shot).

Still, Federer dominated the breaker and broke mid way through the third to find himself with a significantly less stressful 2 sets to 1 lead. As a symbol of this change of fortune, Raonic who during the first two sets accompanied boneheaded unforced errors with a relaxed smile, probably in a conscious effort to not go down on himself, was more and more irritated by the increasingly poor quality of his play. Still, helped by his serve and a decidedly not very opportunistic Federer, Raonic hung around in the fourth set and stearted to play better at the end of it. As everyone was ready for another breaker with Federer serving at 5-6 40-15 and not having faced a single break point since the early stages of the first set... shit happened. And I mean big sticky stinky shit. Federer, probably looking for another career first, served two double faults back to back to bring Raonic to deuce!

The canadian did not ask for a couple more, he was glad to try and find the break by himself from there. Federer saved a first break point, but a second serving of shit was in order as during his footwork to regain position at the net, he stuck the tip of his feet in the grass, twisted his ankle and fell. After a small break to get the physio to check his knee, Federer reminded what clutch his. To save the break point, which was also a set point, after a face plant and an injury scare... he landed a wide first serve on the line and dealt with the short reply with a forehand winner full of authority! Balls of steel! Sadly that was a last hurrah as Raonic still manage to break to force a fifth set.

Energized by this unexpected turn of events, the canadian played at a much higher level in the fifth against a shell shocked Federer who barely managed to avoid a 6-1 (not that 6-3 is much better since a loss is a loss).



As expected, Raonic was not so lucky in the final against a very agitated Murray. The scott made light work of his service games and put a very high number of return back in court, conceding only 8 aces through the match. Add his knack for passing shots, his sense of anticipation and his court coverage, and Murray was clearly the better player through and through. He dealt well with a little scare on serve in the beginning of the third and let Raonic get away with a couple poor games where he missed relatively easy shots for his standard. This bit Federer in the ass, but Murray got away with it, as he crushed the canadian in the breakers of the second and third sets for a second Wimbledon title!



Well done Murray who did not crumble under the heavy weight of the favorite's mantle. He discarded Kyrgios, Berdych and Raonic with ease and only found himself in trouble in the quarter final when Tsonga rallied back from two sets down to force a decided. But even then, Murray found an extra gear to close the match 6-1.

On a side note, that must be the first time in a while that a Grand Slam winner did not have to beat a member of the Big Four to lift the trophy. I'll get back to you on that. The times, they are a-changin'!