The Astronomy Thread
- Thread starter Araxen
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Guest, it's time once again for the massively important and exciting FoH Asshat Tournament!
Go here and give us your nominations!Who's been the biggest Asshat in the last year? Give us your worst ones!
Araxen
Golden Baronet of the Realm
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James Webb Telescope sun shield snags, further launch delays likely
Working on this 24/7 just screams it's going to fail when it gets up there. Something will fail because there are too many people working on it.
Working on this 24/7 just screams it's going to fail when it gets up there. Something will fail because there are too many people working on it.
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Brad2770
Avatar of War Slayer
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meStevo
I think your wife's a bigfoot gus.
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Does Titan's Hydrocarbon Soup Hold A Recipe for Life?
NASA researchers have confirmed the existence in Titan's atmosphere of vinyl cyanide, which is an organic compound that could potentially provide the cellular membranes for microbial life to form in Titan's vast methane oceans. If true, it could prove to us that life can flourish without the ubiquitous H2O.
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Mudcrush Durtfeet
Hungry Ogre
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pharmakos
soʞɐɯɹɐɥd
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Mudcrush when he said 100%? Pretty sure he was just making a joke and I just autistically overanalyzed it
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Brad2770
Avatar of War Slayer
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Mudcrush when he said 100%? Pretty sure he was just making a joke and I just autistically overanalyzed it
Eh, maybe so. Realistic odds are pretty fucking low, though I’m not smart enough to figure it out. I can barely navigate a fucking Twitter link.
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Mudcrush Durtfeet
Hungry Ogre
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^Mudcrush when he said 100%? Pretty sure he was just making a joke and I just autistically overanalyzed it
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Tuco
I got Tuco'd!
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meStevo
I think your wife's a bigfoot gus.
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Hubble finds huge system of dusty material enveloping the young star HR 4796A
https://phys.org/news/2018-03-hubble-huge-dusty-material-enveloping.html
https://phys.org/news/2018-03-hubble-huge-dusty-material-enveloping.html
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Mudcrush Durtfeet
Hungry Ogre
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Presuming that two tickets cannot both win and that the chance of each ticket winning is the same, would not two tickets provide TWO chances in 20,000,000 of winning?
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Tuco
I got Tuco'd!
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Brad2770
Avatar of War Slayer
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Brad2770 plz respond
I don’t know the math. I stated that I didn’t know, but let me go into more details of what I do know:
Your personal odds of winning the lotto is doubled if you own two tickets versus owning one as long as the numbers do not match.
Your overall odds are not doubled. If that was the case, your chances of winning the lotto, if it was 1:20,000,000
2 tickets 1:10,000,000
4 tickets 1:5,000,000
8 tickets 1:2,500,000
16 tickets 1:1,250,000
Etc...
2048 tickets 1:9766
Anyways, at some point, following this meathod, you reach a point where your odds should be guaranteed, but they are not.
Now you guys that are better at math can come in here, flex that brain muscle and beat me down; make me look dumb.
My point: Odds do not work like most think they do. If they did, everyone would win when gambling.
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Tuco
I got Tuco'd!
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Maybe there's an inside joke I'm not getting, but if your understanding of odds is so bad why would you make such an insulting post like this toward him? Glass houses, bro.
Anyway, your above approach is correct though you fucked up your math by starting out with 2 tickets gives you 1:10,000,000. If you continued it, it'd look like this:
Looking above, if you bought 10,000,000 unique tickets, and there were 10,000,000 possible combinations, you would then have a guarantee of winning. If you bought 5,000,000, it'd be a coin flip or 50% chance.
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