The Astronomy Thread

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Loser Araysar

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If I dwell on it too much, it slightly depresses me that the thing I have been interested in the most, and most consistently, during my lifetime (space) will still be so far from being understood, much less explored or even conquered, by the time I die. I was born 3 months before the moon landing, and while obviously I don't remember it, it was a big deal as I was growing up. I could not have imagined that we'd still be this far from space travel. Hell, I just watched Blade Runner again the other day, and the date that things are taking place in that movie are 2019. Obviously it is sci-fi, but still, the hopes for the future of space travel and exploration were so huge a few decades ago. Forty years ago it was all but a given that we'd have flying cars by now. While that was obviously a bit optimistic, we aren't even close to having the power plants/engines necessary for such things, and it is unlikely we'll even have them in another forty years unless public and political opinion swings drastically back towards the research side of things.

Sometimes I almost wish we did get attacked by (a very small contingent of) aliens so we'd be forced to shit or get off the pot. You know that if we were forced to invent actual spacecraft propulsion systems like we've seen in so many sci-fi shows (Battlestar Galactica, Babylon 5, whatever), we'd probably solve the world's energy crisis (and likely climate change as well) along with it. But no, we can't have that because all the politicians care about is being re-elected, not actually furthering science and/or society in any way.

Yeah, I'm rustled, because it bums me out, that's all.
Just watch Prometheus to fill in the blanks.
 

Cad

scientia potentia est
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If I dwell on it too much, it slightly depresses me that the thing I have been interested in the most, and most consistently, during my lifetime (space) will still be so far from being understood, much less explored or even conquered, by the time I die. I was born 3 months before the moon landing, and while obviously I don't remember it, it was a big deal as I was growing up. I could not have imagined that we'd still be this far from space travel. Hell, I just watched Blade Runner again the other day, and the date that things are taking place in that movie are 2019. Obviously it is sci-fi, but still, the hopes for the future of space travel and exploration were so huge a few decades ago. Forty years ago it was all but a given that we'd have flying cars by now. While that was obviously a bit optimistic, we aren't even close to having the power plants/engines necessary for such things, and it is unlikely we'll even have them in another forty years unless public and political opinion swings drastically back towards the research side of things.

Sometimes I almost wish we did get attacked by (a very small contingent of) aliens so we'd be forced to shit or get off the pot. You know that if we were forced to invent actual spacecraft propulsion systems like we've seen in so many sci-fi shows (Battlestar Galactica, Babylon 5, whatever), we'd probably solve the world's energy crisis (and likely climate change as well) along with it. But no, we can't have that because all the politicians care about is being re-elected, not actually furthering science and/or society in any way.

Yeah, I'm rustled, because it bums me out, that's all.
The depressing part is not only the above, but what if the results of Fermi's Paradox are what they are because there simply isn't any spacecraft propulsion system possible within our universes laws of physics that can reasonably propel anything reasonably into interstellar space?
 

Northerner

N00b
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Entirely plausible.

Of course, there are other equally depressing possibilities regarding the longevity of intelligent species and so on but hey, at present we *still* have no math that makes the energy and time requirements of interstellar travel seem like something we are ever actually going to do. I'm actually thinking the problem is that long before an intelligent species can overcome the significant hurdles there they will always long have figured out their own biology and computing. At which point you might as well just not go anywhere since you can simulate whatever you want or just stimulate whatever you want. We are only curious because of our biology and once that is fully understood, we might just end up turning it off or moving that exploratory instinct to a less expensive scenario.

That or this already is a simulation of course
wink.png
 

Big Phoenix

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The depressing part is not only the above, but what if the results of Fermi's Paradox are what they are because there simply isn't any spacecraft propulsion system possible within our universes laws of physics that can reasonably propel anything reasonably into interstellar space?
Who knows. There could be entirely new and different laws of physics or materials with exotic properties right behind the corner. Imagine if you told people about the properties and mechanics of powered flight in the late 1800s.
 

tad10

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Who knows. There could be entirely new and different laws of physics or materials with exotic properties right behind the corner. Imagine if you told people about the properties and mechanics of powered flight in the late 1800s.
They've already got the physics for warp drive. They just need negative matter or negative energy or some other exotic unobtanium - you can google it. I'm sure we'll have it working in fifty years or less if we don't blow ourselves up before them/get hit by a massive solar flare/etc.
 

Lithose

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Or there aren't any other intelligent species in the Universe, or so few as to not matter for any practical purpose (1 or less per supercluster/etc).
I hope this isn't the case, but with the new theories about as to why humans evolved, it seems like it's a very narrow band of environmental factors that would produce intelligent life (Essentially environmental shifts too fast to physically adapt to, but not quite severe enough to kill minor tool adaptions.)

Maybe if we ever got out in the universe, we won't find intelligent life as the "evolutionary apex" of most planets--but rather Dinosaur like creatures, where evolution continued on with it's physical adaption arms race.
 

fucker_sl

shitlord
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naa...dont be so negative guys. Sure, we are still very far away from it, but just look what technology we had 1 century ago. We had barely started to use planes. 90% of the science field we know today were yet to be created. We are learning more and more at faster rate. We are about to invent cold fusion/LENR source of energy production. We are getting closer to quantum computers. Robotics is becoming more and more complex so much that we can imagine in a few decades an industrial revolution like we have with the introduction of motorized machines in agricolture and industrial chain production

the only question is if our society can survive the changes technology will bring, not if we will ever be able to reach space

i'm pretty optimistic in this. Sure i wont be see it, but i can live with that
 

tad10

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I hope this isn't the case, but with the new theories about as to why humans evolved, it seems like it's a very narrow band of environmental factors that would produce intelligent life (Essentially environmental shifts too fast to physically adapt to, but not quite severe enough to kill minor tool adaptions.)

Maybe if we ever got out in the universe, we won't find intelligent life as the "evolutionary apex" of most planets--but rather Dinosaur like creatures, where evolution continued on with it's physical adaption arms race.
I'm dubious we'll find more than bacteria - but this is pretty reasonable. The problem is the Universe is implacably hostile to life. Mars is a perfect example. Mars is in the right place, had running water for a while but is as dead as a doorknob because the atmosphere escaped and the place froze up. Earth is teeming with life right now but if we get hit by an unexpected asteroid tomorrow that's mostly gone.
 

fanaskin

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I think there where alot of complexities that helped bring intelligent life on the planet and tend to imagine intelligent life as being extremely rare.

One thing I think most people also discount is the help the moon gives to producing a stable environment for complex life to grow up in as well. without the moon our rotation would be wobbly and all over the place, stable weather cycles wouldn't probably exist as we experience them with defined regular patterns. Tidal motion itself would have an effect of stirring up the pot (ocean) adding all kinds of energy and motion for more physical/chemical interactions to occur that must have a large impact of macro evolution. The moon ( and the gas giants as well) act as gravity wells to shield the earth from comets and meteorites.

http://www.astrobio.net/index.php?op...detail&id=2507

With the formation of the moon there is the idea that a mars size object collided with the earth and transferred a large portion of their core to our planet, without the extra iron in our core our van allen belt radiation should be weaker as well and that could potentially have huge effects on the possibility for life to exist at all, I would venture the relatively less amount of iron in it's core probably had a strong effect for why mars no longer has no atmosphere/surface water/conditions for basic life at all.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Giant_impact_hypothesis
http://www.universetoday.com/30538/w...-blasted-away/
 

tad10

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Earth is teeming with life right now but if we get hit by an unexpected asteroid tomorrow that's mostly gone.
Speaking of Asteroids I'm dubious on the calculations for 1997 XF11 for 2028. It makes a close approach to Pallas (2) and Earth before then so quite possible of alteration in orbit. Time to get your shovels out and start building that asteroid shelter.




From 1950 to 2100


Planet Date MJD Nominaldistance(AU) Min possibledistance(AU) Stretching(AU) Width(AU) Close appprochprobability

EARTH 1957/10/25.31510 36136.3 0.0153865 0.0153755 5.094e-6 2.819e-8 1.00e+0
EARTH 1971/05/19.18500 41090.2 0.0316671 0.0316628 1.425e-6 5.043e-8 1.00e+0
2 1972/10/01.80845 41591.8 0.0292911 0.0292887 8.644e-7 1.438e-7 1.00e+0
2 1986/08/07.29940 46649.3 0.0169891 0.0169888 6.575e-7 1.425e-7 1.00e+0
EARTH 1997/05/08.91742 50576.9 0.1555090 0.1555090 4.272e-7 4.957e-8 1.00e+0
2 2000/06/12.70626 51707.7 0.0167493 0.0167488 2.496e-7 1.381e-7 1.00e+0
EARTH 2002/10/31.02654 52578.0 0.0636143 0.0636142 2.724e-8 3.589e-9 1.00e+0
2 2014/04/20.68557 56767.7 0.0408525 0.0408509 5.272e-7 1.423e-7 1.00e+0
EARTH 2016/06/10.67444 57549.7 0.1799830 0.1799830 7.747e-7 7.108e-8 1.00e+0
EARTH 2028/10/26.28019 62070.3 0.0062122 0.0062081 1.828e-6 2.722e-8 1.00e+0
EARTH 2035/06/08.86007 64486.9 0.1747790 0.1745410 8.260e-5 6.931e-8 1.00e+0
EARTH 2040/11/04.64386 66462.6 0.1526910 0.1523680 1.986e-4 2.713e-8 1.00e+0
EARTH 2078/05/10.88757 80163.9 0.1230410 0.1218410 4.433e-4 5.017e-8 1.00e+0
EARTH 2083/10/09.71057 82141.7 0.1552140 0.1548030 3.020e-4 3.917e-8 1.00e+0
EARTH 2090/05/19.63765 84555.6 0.0370996 0.0365196 2.001e-4 5.149e-8 1.00e+0
EARTH 2095/10/27.04953 86542.0 0.0130209 0.0124266 2.107e-4 2.662e-8 1.00e+0


rrr_img_33901.png
 

Eomer

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Earth is teeming with life right now but if we get hit by an unexpected asteroid tomorrow that's mostly gone.
For a couple hundred thousand to a few million years. Then it comes back as strong as it ever was. Earth has had numerous extinction events, yet life keeps on trucking.
 

Void

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naa...dont be so negative guys. Sure, we are still very far away from it, but just look what technology we had 1 century ago. We had barely started to use planes. 90% of the science field we know today were yet to be created. We are learning more and more at faster rate. We are about to invent cold fusion/LENR source of energy production. We are getting closer to quantum computers. Robotics is becoming more and more complex so much that we can imagine in a few decades an industrial revolution like we have with the introduction of motorized machines in agricolture and industrial chain production

the only question is if our society can survive the changes technology will bring, not if we will ever be able to reach space

i'm pretty optimistic in this. Sure i wont be see it, but i can live with that
That last part is the part that bums me in particular, but aside from that, sure we have barely had planes for 100 years. The problem is, most of the planes we are still using to this day are barely different than the planes we used 40 years ago in terms of propulsion systems, structures, aerodynamics, etc. Computers are really the only "future tech" that has lived up to (and in some ways exceeded) the reasonable expectations that people had for it. 40 years ago a computer filled a room, now it fits in our phone. But the best thing we have to power our planes, cars, boats, etc. is still fossil fuels. With the exception of nuclear-powered naval vessels, we've just gotten better at making existing fuels produce more horsepower pretty much. We haven't gotten anywhere near even powering our cities with nuclear power or anything else "new", let alone individual vehicles. Hell, we've been "about to" invent cold fusion for decades now.

I know it is just the age creeping up on me more than anything, but when I was in grade school we used to all want to be astronauts and shit, and we'd draw pictures of flying cars and living on the moon. Do kids even think about that kind of thing nowadays? It's like we've given up on the wonder of space, and all the awesome inventions we get from trying to live there. As I've said, the breakthroughs that some sort of "ion thruster" or "plasma engine" (just making up names obviously) that allows people to fly around in space like it is no big deal would do wonders for our dwindling fossil fuels, pollution, global warming...who knows, maybe even agriculture, poverty, etc. Not to mention things like oxygen scrubbers/rebreathers/generators, water purifiers, etc. that would all have to be made vastly more efficient and compact. Those things will all come one day, we all know they will. But we're not even really trying much anymore, outside of a random few programs that don't have the funding or backing necessary to make much headway.

It doesn't matter whether there is anything else out there or not, in my mind. Striving to get there is what we should be doing, and we aren't. No one in charge cares anymore. And most people don't either. That's what makes me sad.
 

Brad2770

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Thats why you do like I did; Buy a telescope and take your kid out and SHOW them the wonders of Space. My son nearly flipped when I showed him Saturn's wings (It didnt look like rings, just a planet with wings).
 

fucker_sl

shitlord
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I know it is just the age creeping up on me more than anything, but when I was in grade school we used to all want to be astronauts and shit, and we'd draw pictures of flying cars and living on the moon. Do kids even think about that kind of thing nowadays? It's like we've given up on the wonder of space, and all the awesome inventions we get from trying to live there.

It doesn't matter whether there is anything else out there or not, in my mind. Striving to get there is what we should be doing, and we aren't. No one in charge cares anymore. And most people don't either. That's what makes me sad.
you should really watch this video. He says pretty much what you just wrote about the cultural "dreaming" 70/80 society had and the reason why we(you) reached that apex of technological enterprise, and why no one else has adventured beyond that

 

Void

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you should really watch this video. He says pretty much what you just wrote about the cultural "dreaming" 70/80 society had and the reason why we(you) reached that apex of technological enterprise, and why no one else has adventured beyond that

Thank you so much for that. I've always been a fan of his of course, but every time I hear him speak on a topic I'm even more amazed. If he were just in charge of funding projects, the world would soon be a much different place.

It is interesting to me that he mentions 1989 and the Berlin Wall, Soviet union crumbling, etc. as one of the major turning points, and his example of an aerospace engineer designing a 10% more efficient plane vs. the airfoil used on another planet. I was in my junior year of college by then, in Aeronautical Engineering, and by the time I graduated the job market for my field went from 90%+ employment rate after graduation to under 20%. I came back home to Sacramento and Aerojet laid off 2000+ people. It was amazing just how quickly everything stopped. Even non-defense oriented jobs came to a screeching halt. I mean, it wasn't like passenger airline technology was solely dependent upon whether or not the Soviets were going to nuke us, but once the threat wasn't there, even that research plummeted in importance. Not to mention all the other things he talks about, like particle physics and the like.

I would give my left nut to live in the world he and I both envision. Or at least the one that he mentions where politicians would be required to pass a law or bill every year that wouldn't have tangible benefits until far after the reelection terms of those politicians. Thank you again for linking that, I hadn't seen it before.