The Astronomy Thread

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Can already see them if you live in a real dark area. In a line.

I'm an amateur astronomer, sadly not currently in a Real Dark area (8 inch dobsonian, televue optics), but this does, ya know, piss me off. I keep it to myself because I don;t want to be a weirdo, but if you have ever had a really lucky night stargazing, and seen some stuff you never thought you'd find or make out, you would be too. I simply do not get how this is acceptable. I mean, I think I'm saying that I think this is evil. Morally wrong.

ok, I better stop.
 
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BrutulTM

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I'm an amateur astronomer, sadly not currently in a Real Dark area (8 inch dobsonian, televue optics), but this does, ya know, piss me off. I keep it to myself because I don;t want to be a weirdo, but if you have ever had a really lucky night stargazing, and seen some stuff you never thought you'd find or make out, you would be too. I simply do not get how this is acceptable. I mean, I think I'm saying that I think this is evil. Morally wrong.

ok, I better stop.
As someone who has been living without broadband internet for the last 11 years, I don't give a fuck about your stargazing hobby. Can't wait for Starlink.
 
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"Hello Ethel? Yup, the French stole the barn again. Yup, they're gonna put it in orbit."
Screenshot_2020-11-10 NASA Launch Schedule.png
 
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Burns

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A company called AST & Science out of Midland, Tx is asking the FCC for approval to put 243 large 4G/5G satellites into a constellation in orbit at an altitude of 447 mi (close to 4 scientific sats called the A-Train). For the first time NASA has officially weighed in on a private space venture before an approval board, stating there is an "unacceptably high" risk of collisions.

From Ars Technica article:

"The satellites are also very large. In order to provide service, AST plans to build spacecraft with large phased array antennas—900 square meters. According to NASA, in planning for potential conjunctions with other satellites and debris in this orbit, this would require proscribing a "hard-body radius" of 30 meters, or as much as 10 times larger than other satellites.
Maneuvering around the proposed SpaceMobile constellation would be extraordinarily taxing, NASA said. "For the completed constellation of 243 satellites, one can expect 1,500 mitigation actions per year and perhaps 15,000 planning activities," the space agency stated. "This would equate to four maneuvers and 40 active planning activities on any given day."
Finally, the space agency is concerned because AST has never built a satellite remotely close in size to the 1-ton or larger vehicles that will populate its constellation. Given this lack of experience, it is expected that 10 percent or more of the satellites may fail, making them unable to maneuver to avoid collisions. NASA found the risk of a catastrophic collision to be "unacceptably high.""
Link to the 30-Oct-2020 NASA statement (downloadable pdf) in the article:
 
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Burns

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I'm an amateur astronomer, sadly not currently in a Real Dark area (8 inch dobsonian, televue optics), but this does, ya know, piss me off. I keep it to myself because I don;t want to be a weirdo, but if you have ever had a really lucky night stargazing, and seen some stuff you never thought you'd find or make out, you would be too. I simply do not get how this is acceptable. I mean, I think I'm saying that I think this is evil. Morally wrong.

ok, I better stop.

I can see your point, but having high speed internet anywhere on the globe should be a huge boon for the global economy. If you want to talk about the morality of it all, it is hard not to frame it as some rich people and their hobby, vs the potential prosperity of millions of poor rural people having access to the global marketplace (polluting a natural wonder vs pulling people out of poverty). The future of professional astronomy is space based, and these satellites shouldn't affect them.

My biggest issue with Starlink is the same as all satellites and space missions, in that of leaving space junk for future generations to clean up.

To illustrate the clutter already, here is a picture from the Ars Technica article above, of 16 Starlink Sats captured in one photo, as seen from Vladivostok, Russia:

GettyImages-1211085521.jpg
 
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I know. You are correct. Professional astronomy will develop fully adaptive optics for it, but I'm not an optical engineer!

Yeah. And in any event, these are not long term satellites, right? They are pretty low.
 

Burns

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I know. You are correct. Professional astronomy will develop fully adaptive optics for it, but I'm not an optical engineer!

Yeah. And in any event, these are not long term satellites, right? They are pretty low.

Aye, the majority of them are very low, so once they go dead, they wont last long as space junk (between 1 month and 1 year).

SpaceX states that the planed average lifespan of a Starlink sat is only 5 years, under power. So, I'd imagine they also plan a continuous replacement rate as sats fail and fall down to earth, but how quickly something decays out of orbit can vary greatly depending on multiple factors (source linked at the bottom, with the info & math).

These factors include:
  • atmospheric density (varies by latitude and longitude)
  • the satellite's effective cross sectional area, mass, and drag coefficient
  • relative position of the sun (time of day)
  • the suns activity
  • the time of year (distance between sun and earth)
  • geomagnetic index (for sats under 400km)

The following table provides a very rough guide to the lifetime of an object in a circular or near circular orbit at various altitudes:

Satellite AltitudeLifetime
200 km1 day
300 km1 month
400 km1 year
500 km10 years
700 km100 years
900 km1000 years


(Starlink altitudes, again for reference)
The initial 12,000 satellites are planned to orbit in three orbital shells:
  • First: 1,440 in a 550 km (340 mi) altitude shell,
  • Second: 2,825 Ku-band and Ka-band spectrum satellites at 1,110 km (690 mi),
  • Third: 7,500 V-band satellites at 340 km (210 mi).
Website reference (old school mostly simple text):
 
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meStevo

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A lot of good science from Arecibo over the years, I wonder how real the possibility is that it will never re-open.


1605215899425.png
 
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Ukerric

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Rofl at the movie reference.

But apart from that, funding for that old and slightly misplaced radio-telescope was always iffy, so there is indeed a real risk that funding is cut and a new, more modern radio-telescope built somewhere else instead.
 
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BrutulTM

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I'm just a dumb guy, but it doesn't seem like it should be that hard to avoid collisions in space. I mean Los Angeles is only 5000 square miles has 6.5 million cars that can only drive on like 10% of the land and only move in two dimensions and they seem to be able to avoid each other most of the time even though a significant percentage are being driven by teenagers, drunks, retards, and people posting on twitter while they drive. I know the satellites are going very fast, but there's so much room up there and they have 3 dimensions to work with and they're being controlled by computers. Seems like they should never have to even come within miles of one another.
 

Cybsled

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Better analogy would be a busy highway, but drivers will randomly pass out in their cars and drift into other lanes, hitting another car and all their debris frags any vehicle it touches instantly and the highway lane is unusable for years after the accident.
 

BrutulTM

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Better analogy would be a busy highway, but drivers will randomly pass out in their cars and drift into other lanes, hitting another car and all their debris frags any vehicle it touches instantly and the highway lane is unusable for years after the accident.
Okay, but there are thousands of lanes and they are all 50 miles wide. I see according to Wikipedia that it has actually happened 4 times, but the amount of objects and the amount of space seems to make it pretty unlikely. It's mostly that the consequence are high I suppose, especially since we don't have a way to clean up the mess.
 
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Aychamo BanBan

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A company called AST out of Midland, Tx is asking the FCC for approval to put 243 large 4G/5G satellites into a constellation in orbit at an altitude of 447 mi (close to 4 scientific sats called the A-Train). For the first time NASA has officially weighed in on a private space venture before an approval board, stating there is an "unacceptably high" risk of collisions.

From Ars Technica article:

"The satellites are also very large. In order to provide service, AST plans to build spacecraft with large phased array antennas—900 square meters. According to NASA, in planning for potential conjunctions with other satellites and debris in this orbit, this would require proscribing a "hard-body radius" of 30 meters, or as much as 10 times larger than other satellites.
Maneuvering around the proposed SpaceMobile constellation would be extraordinarily taxing, NASA said. "For the completed constellation of 243 satellites, one can expect 1,500 mitigation actions per year and perhaps 15,000 planning activities," the space agency stated. "This would equate to four maneuvers and 40 active planning activities on any given day."
Finally, the space agency is concerned because AST has never built a satellite remotely close in size to the 1-ton or larger vehicles that will populate its constellation. Given this lack of experience, it is expected that 10 percent or more of the satellites may fail, making them unable to maneuver to avoid collisions. NASA found the risk of a catastrophic collision to be "unacceptably high.""
Link to the 30-Oct-2020 NASA statement (downloadable pdf) in the article:

Fuck man, how much money is this project? 243 satellites? That's insane, and then to get them all into space, run them, etc. How can that be profitable??
 
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I voiced my "amateur astronomy!" grievance, but I am pro-satellite if a rather fail safe system is in place to not ever have a Kessler cascade or anything close.

I have no doubt we have the tech to track every damn thing, given a thorough enough system. So I see no need to worry, except for outlier bad operations. There needs to be a system in place to make sure bad operations never happen. I would feel comfortable if NASA has veto power. Because yes, space is huge. The orbital space is huge. Another analogy is simply the surface of the earth itself. The orbital "surface" is significantly larger, and unlike the surface of the earth, has massive uniform usable depth.

Isn't it then a matter of simply tracking everything? And we can do that, I am guessing down to the size of a quarter if need be.

We rock, is my point. There does not need to be problems with satellites. It's pretty impressive, that fact.