Now the GFS AND Euro have it scraping the east coast.
I think they will continue to show it nailing Florida all day because that scrape could change and showing anything less than an impact at this point may make some people not take it seriously. It is a dangerous thing all in all. What time do you head out?
"The initial motion is 285/14. Irma is currently being steered by
the subtropical ridge to the north, and a general west-
northwestward motion on the south side of the ridge is expected
during the next 48-72 h. This portion of the forecast track is
little changed and is in best overall agreement with the ECMWF
model. The forecast has become
more uncertain after 72 h due to
large eastward shifts by the ECMWF, Canadian, and HWRF models
related to forecasts of the mid- to upper-level trough over the
southeastern United States."
Anything still in play.