idk. im new to this.
I'm not sure this cycle is going to drop any time soon. but, even if it does, it looks like 20k will be the new normal at least to me.
old trends. 600 average to 17k peak, and dropped back down to about 6k average. dropped to 3.5k for a bit, then up to 11k spike, and 8k average..
from 8k average we just spiked to 20k, at which point all the buzz took off. spiked to 33k last night.
you almost never drop down to the original values. I'd suspect 50-30% reduction from peak at most. I don't see it going below 20k again, imho. and thats if todays 33k is the peak. I'm don't really think it is.
There doesn't seem to be an obvious, dec, jan, feb, etc trend I can see.
I bit. back in dec 23rd, I put $600 for incoming stim check 300 in btc, 300 in eth. then, dec 30, said fuck it.. Another 1k in BTC, and 1k in ETh, for "maybe next check".
So, those two are certainly turning out well so far.
But then I decided, it wasn't good enough. Crypto is atm, like any of those gambles you kick yourself for as you get older... tesla, apple, intel, amazon..
Imo, its starting to look inevitable. like every time Tesla value increased, and still didn't invest. I think even a spike, and drop down to stable value will only be temporary, and over the next few years, it will surpass that spikes value.
So, need to find the sweet spot. Large enough investment, that will be game changing if it succeeds. Small enough that if it doesn't, it won't bankrupt me. $2600 obviously is not enough.
I withdrew $10k from my non-IRA mutual fund. (which doesn't perform as well as my IRA anyway. 18% vs 26% this year for example) I'll be putting that into crypto.
Shame is, I did this on the 30th... still waiting for the money xfer so I can actually buy the coin. lol. Guess that kind of thing is the point of crypto.