Manseed said:
Hey guys. Looks like there"s a lot of experienced people here, so I thought I"d run my plan by you all and see if you have any feedback.
I"m planning to buy a duplex this year. My ultimate goal is to buy properties and retire on the rental income. So I"ve read a few books, got a lot of info on the internet and I"ve come up with 3 basic criteria for myself.
- Monthly cash flow must be positive by over $100
- With no tenants, it must be affordable month to month
- It must be an area I"d be comfortable living in. Low crime, not ghetto, etc
My formula for cash flow is as follows:
(Expected Rents + Tax Advantages) - (Mortgage, Property Tax, 5% Vacancy, 1% Repairs, Property Insurance, Owner Paid Utilities)
The expected rents is assuming that both of the units are rented, even though I"ll be living in one of them.
With this I"ve found a few properties that could be potential deals, but they end up selling only a few days after they hit the market. This gives me a little confidence that I"m going in the right direction, but it means that I will have to make an offer as soon as something comes up without sleeping on it. A little scary.
Also my plan is to finance the entirety of the purchase. I have a VA backed loan, so I can get a low interest rate with 0% down. From shopping around it looks like I can get a 3.6% 30 year fixed loan with 0 down. People always frown at me when I mention 0 down, but I think they"re thinking of 0 down ARM loans and the trouble people have gotten into over the past decade.
The first thing you need to do is to assess the occupancy rate of rental properties in your area. You seem to already know the first rule of real estate which is location, location, location, so obviously spend a little more and buy in a nicer area.
Once you"ve assessed the occupancy rate, then it"s time to find a property. You mentioned the ones you are looking at are getting snatched up, which is a good sign that rentals are doing well in your area.
I"m not sure what your current finances look like, but the whole 3.5% down thing I would frown upon. You can look back on the previous pages when there has been disagreement back and forth about whether that"s a viable strategy or not, but I will give you 3 reasons why it"s bad for an investment property, let along your primary residence.
1) The first is it"s a huge red flag that you can"t afford the place, not meaning that you can"t get a loan and get the place, but that you don"t have enough in reserves to ride out bad times like a recession. If you did have the resources, you would be able to put more money down.
2) The less money you put down, the more the property is going to cost you in the long run, and the longer it"s going to take to pay it off. You lose equity. Interest rates are ridiculously low right now, which is good news....but even at 3.5%, that"s a loss that"s not easily regained in other investments. I would be happy to get a steady 4% annual ROI, for example. You are giving almost the exact opposite up. If you were to take any money you would potentially not use on a down payment and invest it, you would need to make 7.5% just to make up for the interest vs. me putting it into a 4% money market account, for example.
3) The larger your debt, the more your debt ratio increases, and the smaller the loans you will qualify in the future. Again, not knowing anything about your finances, but if money is tight, and you have a large loan out on this rental property, that will count against you when it comes time to get a loan for, say, your primary home.
Also, I"m not sure a monthly case flow of over $100 is worth it, unless the property is dirt cheap, and I"m talking under $50,000. It would take just one broken water heater to really eat into any profit you might be making. For reference, the cheapest rental property I own is a $500,000 home, and I"m netting about $1500 a month on it....so taking 1/10 of that, would be $150 a month on a $50,000 property.
Again, the positive would be making about $1800 a year on a $50,000 property....someone is paying off your mortgage.....but the downside is your margins are very slim on cheaper properties, if shit starts breaking down you are going to end up putting more money in the home than you are bringing in.
With all that said, there probably isn"t going to be a better time to get an investment property. Interest rates are at historic lows, and the number of people renting are at historic highs. I just personally think financing almost the entire venture is a mistake.