Investing General Discussion

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Sanrith Descartes

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This is probably going to take a good 5 minutes to read through so if you have ADHD just keep scrolling. This is a Lithose type of post.

As I alluded to earlier, one of the problems I see in new investors is they don't put the time in to become good at making money. You don't have to be smart to make money in the market. You really don't. Because of symmetrical information, everyone has access to the same info (or they are supposed to legally). And in today's investing world, software does 99% of the heavy lifting for you. What is required to be a winning investor is time. You have got to put the time in to research shit. If you aren't willing to invest your time, then the best approach is for you to be a passive investor in index ETFs.

Too often here I see people buying into shit with tens of thousands of dollars in stock that they have ZERO idea what they do or what they make (if anything). "I heard about it on Reddit/Twitter/Discord etc". You are basically playing three card Monty. Thats a New York City reference. Go look it up if you don't know what it is. I currently hold 26 individual stocks in my portfolio. I can spend time discussing their products/services, business models and financials at length because I have spent hours digging into them. Just as important, you the reader will probably have heard of every single one of them (with one exception). Would you buy a Russian mail-order-bride sight unseen? Of course not. Why buy a stock you have never heard of?

My holdings...

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So how do I come up with these stocks? Its actually kind of simple. You cant possibly research the 5,000+ companies in the stock market. There are 11 sectors of the S&P 500 and State Street has an ETF for each sector called the SPDRs. If you look at an ETF you will always find a list of its top 10 holdings. Since 99% are cap weighted, the top ten will be the biggest companies in that sector. So if you just look up the 11 SPDRs and then write down the top ten holdings, you will end up with a list of 110 companies (22% of the S&P 500) that are the largest companies in their sectors. That gives you a pool of companies to begin researching. You can first go through the list and mark out any companies you just dont like out of personal preference. What's left is an investing pool.

Here are the 11 SPDRs top 10 list put together for you. Merry Christmas.


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Stop handicapping your investing by buying shit tier stocks. Buy thoroughbreds. Spend time learning what the company actually does. Learn to read their financial statements. Hint: Billionaires didn't become billionaires owning shitty stocks. Every tool you need to win is freely available to you. Stop being lazy and put the work in. Tom Brady isn't the GOAT because he skips leg day. If you don't want to put the work in then invest in Indexes and you will do quite well. There aren't short cuts to getting good at this.

Ho, Ho, Ho.
 
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Sanrith Descartes

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I dunno if it's a failure to communicate. Your method clearly does and would work.

I'm just too retarded to take the medicine.
I was alluding to the second half of the quote. All the ones I found had the full quote and I was too lazy to keep looking :)
 
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Volto!

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If you aren't willing to invest your time, then the best approach is for you to be a passive investor in index ETFs.
What about mutual funds? I have nothing but VFIAX in my Roth that I just set up a month ago. Would I be better off with a more diverse set of ETFs like you posted above?
 

Sanrith Descartes

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What about mutual funds? I have nothing but VFIAX in my Roth that I just set up a month ago. Would I be better off with a more diverse set of ETFs like you posted above?
Mutual funds and ETFs are two birds of the same feather. As long as the mutual is low cost its fine. The issue I have found is many mutuals tend to gouge investors on net fees. Fidelity is now offering free no-fee mutuals though.
 
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Sanrith Descartes

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Just a reminder the market is closed tomorrow so pretend today is Friday.
 
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Sanrith Descartes

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Gravel

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It's crazy, because with all of the volatility, we've really been almost completely flat for the market for the last two months. Doesn't feel like it though.

Looks like it's finally breaking up. So now we'll see if this is the last big push before it all goes to shit, or if we sustain this crazy ride higher.
 
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Sanrith Descartes

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ABBV - New 52 high
ABT - New 52 high
UNH - New 52 high

Remember me mentioning the second best sector in the market to own after Tech?
 
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Sanrith Descartes

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Sanrith Descartes Sanrith Descartes any thoughts on HCA stock?
There are a number of big health insurers. The only thing I really see with them is their debt to EBITDA ratio is higher than I would like. That PE of 12.84 is very attractive. Lots of cash flow to cover the debt service. If the debt is/was for an acquisition then its more attractive.

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TheBeagle

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Bought some more TQQQ Monday for $143.50 and just took some profits at $166.25. I was real nervous after depleting all my cash reserves on this latest dip. Will re-invest some of it on a fishing trip to the coast next week!
 
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Sanrith Descartes

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Baring some colossal market event, if MA can close here or above it will have cleared the last of its overhead resistance and have clear skies above.

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