Investing General Discussion

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Fogel

Mr. Poopybutthole
13,476
53,689
But at some point, don't people take profits? You've got this massive run up and I would think the big boys would begin cashing out.

The volume for NVDA for example is still pretty high even at these levels, so clearly there's enough buyers even if some are cashing out.
 
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Jysin

Ahn'Qiraj Raider
6,512
4,526
But at some point, don't people take profits? You've got this massive run up and I would think the big boys would begin cashing out.
Retail would likely chase shit like NVDA. The smart money will be rotating from tech into other lagging sectors like small and mid caps (IWM). If the rotation dies, we get more than a pullback. I just dont see it yet. Sentiment is far too bullish and pullback dips have been aggressively bought up.

Tomorrow is quad witching OPEX and going into a 3 day weekend. (Markets closed Monday). If there were ever a time for profit taking, it would be then.
 
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Jysin

Ahn'Qiraj Raider
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Then you get after hours data releases like this:

(US) Fed releases factors affecting reserve balances (H.4.1): Discount window borrowing rose to $3.62B v $3.20B w/w; Banks have borrowed $102B v $100.2B w/w from new BTFP facility [6th week of consecutive increase]

6th straight week of bank lending increases. This, gentlemen, is your real answer why Fed paused. "Resilient" I believe is Powell's mantra on banks.

Just as I posted this, get an update from:


1686861992132.png
 
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Jysin

Ahn'Qiraj Raider
6,512
4,526
SPCE up 50% after hours.

Catalyst:

Virgin Galactic says its first space-tourism flight will take place this month

 
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Falstaff

Ahn'Qiraj Raider
8,455
3,409
The fuck? What industry do you work in that that'd be a thing?
I work for one of the big boys its why I mostly only post memes or shit post in this thread, never anything serious... not that I think my employer will ever trace me here.
But I am also supposed to disclose any of my family accounts too, or those living with me, including retirement accounts etc.

Thankfully I don't work on the private side otherwise I would have to pre-clear trades before I even made them, if they even let me trade (usually they don't). All I have to do is make sure nothing is on the internal restricted list and I have to hold it for 30 days.
 
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Jysin

Ahn'Qiraj Raider
6,512
4,526
I work for one of the big boys its why I mostly only post memes or shit post in this thread, never anything serious... not that I think my employer will ever trace me here.
But I am also supposed to disclose any of my family accounts too, or those living with me, including retirement accounts etc.

Thankfully I don't work on the private side otherwise I would have to pre-clear trades before I even made them, if they even let me trade (usually they don't). All I have to do is make sure nothing is on the internal restricted list and I have to hold it for 30 days.

Yo! Got any hot tips!?
bokeem woodbine GIF
 
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Tmac

Adventurer
<Aristocrat╭ರ_•́>
10,074
17,141
Retail would likely chase shit like NVDA. The smart money will be rotating from tech into other lagging sectors like small and mid caps (IWM). If the rotation dies, we get more than a pullback. I just dont see it yet. Sentiment is far too bullish and pullback dips have been aggressively bought up.

Tomorrow is quad witching OPEX and going into a 3 day weekend. (Markets closed Monday). If there were ever a time for profit taking, it would be then.

What are some good ways to identify lagging sectors? This is something that I've been trying to identify for the last two years, but haven't found (here or otherwise) any resources to help identify what those might be.

When I looked at the QQQ last week, my first thought was to start investing in an index that's due for an uptick, but had no idea how to identify it.
 

Gravel

Mr. Poopybutthole
40,386
133,900
But at some point, don't people take profits? You've got this massive run up and I would think the big boys would begin cashing out.
Don't forget the lessons of the 2008 Recession.

Tons of people sold at the bottom and didn't buy back in until 2012, 2013, or later.

There's probably a fuck load of money sitting on the sidelines still and they'll buy at exorbitant prices. We may be seeing some FOMO buying as people hope they don't miss the run up.
 
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ShakyJake

<Donor>
7,969
20,089
When I looked at the QQQ last week, my first thought was to start investing in an index that's due for an uptick, but had no idea how to identify it.
I think the relative performance of Financials, Real Estate, Consumer Defensive, Healthcare, Utilities, and Energy are behind everything else YTD.
 
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Cad

scientia potentia est
<Bronze Donator>
25,882
50,910
My little firm got acquired and my shitty new overlords are making me get consent to trade my personal account, like I can front run my baby dick less than 1 million dollar account to any meaningful degree.

They say I don’t have to pre clear ETF trades, so I’m either going to have to go all ETF or bite the bullet and start complying, but it just feels a bit oppressive. Like, if I want to sell some shit, I have to watch it go down until your team of gay non sock wearing motherfuckers says it’s ok?

on top of that, I’m not even a partner, just a 1099 peon. Is that even legals? I can see if I took a buyout, but you have to manage over 100 million to make partner and I’m only year 1 with these guys.
Are you guys privy to any MNPI? If not I'd probably tell them to get fucked and go somewhere else if you want to trade. If they think they can control your stock trading (assuming you don't get MNPI) what else do they want to control?
 
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Rod-138

Trakanon Raider
1,210
977
No, just regular stonks trading. Sadly, I think its par for the course in the industry once you get to a certain level of overlords. Also, you hear and assume lots of nightmare scenarios once you get bought out and while lots of them have been true, and shitty, they mostly leave us alone. You can feel the pressure coming from their compliance team, but at the same time they know we have been very successful for a small firm and they're trying to keep their lawyers happy and keep us producing without fucking it up. I'm sure lots of you have gone through the same thing with acquisitions, but yeah, I've had to consent to my trading being monitored, but never pre-authorized! I think my whine is just.
 

Il_Duce Lightning Lord Rule

Lightning Fast
<Charitable Administrator>
11,117
59,402
No, just regular stonks trading. Sadly, I think its par for the course in the industry once you get to a certain level of overlords. Also, you hear and assume lots of nightmare scenarios once you get bought out and while lots of them have been true, and shitty, they mostly leave us alone. You can feel the pressure coming from their compliance team, but at the same time they know we have been very successful for a small firm and they're trying to keep their lawyers happy and keep us producing without fucking it up. I'm sure lots of you have gone through the same thing with acquisitions, but yeah, I've had to consent to my trading being monitored, but never pre-authorized! I think my whine is just.
Never mind that shit, which character on 'Billions' best represents you as a trader?
:trollface:
 
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TJT

Mr. Poopybutthole
<Gold Donor>
43,226
110,774
I work for one of the big boys its why I mostly only post memes or shit post in this thread, never anything serious... not that I think my employer will ever trace me here.
But I am also supposed to disclose any of my family accounts too, or those living with me, including retirement accounts etc.

Thankfully I don't work on the private side otherwise I would have to pre-clear trades before I even made them, if they even let me trade (usually they don't). All I have to do is make sure nothing is on the internal restricted list and I have to hold it for 30 days.
I have some friends who work at here in Austin at Charles Schwab. They are under similar restrictions too. Another friend of mine works at a big finance firm and although he's a software developer they give him the weird bank titles. Like he's a senior vice president but he's just a developer. This causes tech firms to contact him for the big money c-suite jobs until they realize he's just a senior developer experience wise.
 

Jysin

Ahn'Qiraj Raider
6,512
4,526
I have some friends who work at here in Austin at Charles Schwab. They are under similar restrictions too. Another friend of mine works at a big finance firm and although he's a software developer they give him the weird bank titles. Like he's a senior vice president but he's just a developer. This causes tech firms to contact him for the big money c-suite jobs until they realize he's just a senior developer experience wise.
This is a finance world thing. I had a couple interviews with Goldman Sachs London for a VP position, however, it had nothing to do with C suite.
 

Jysin

Ahn'Qiraj Raider
6,512
4,526
This shouldn't be new news. Google search "commercial real estate risk" and you will be flooded with news results for months and warnings from top finance heads.
 
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