QQQ up 2% today. FB 5%, MSFT 2.5%, TSLA 5%, AMZN 2.5%
Everything is normal.
You cant fool us. You have been quiet while enjoying your small summer home out in the Hamptons.I know I've been quiet lately, having a massive year and just figured I'd chime in and say this week is my breaking point on greed. I am not calling a top, but I'm taking profits this week. I'm not planning for some massive pullback, the market may consolidate sideways, but my strategy is adjusting from the largely holding while fully invested, of the last few months. I will still leave some skin in the game (maybe $200-300K in SPY) but will be out QQQ. I'm up $105/share on my avg cost basis for QQQ hard to believe that it's only been 4-5 months.
Will take it day by day and play it as I see it, but the euphoria over tech is enough for me to want off the ride in the short term. This is not a technical trade on my part but more of a weighing my goals and existing profits. From a technical stand point highs beget more highs. Strength brings more strength, and the trend has remained extremely strong, but I'm quite pleased with where I'm at given that I was told by a local genius we would never see this level again in my lifetime... a few months ago.
Blazin I know you trade each day so it is different than most of the rest of us. Just curious are you divesting to cash in general or just trimming off profits from core holdings? Just curious if you have anything you are keeping as a core and if so what is it?
Got it. I revisit by core non-index holdings once a month on my strategy tab of excel and ask myself is this still a HODL stock. The AAPL, MSFT, JPM etc. Assuming its still a yes, I then see if it is overweight my 5% max cap and if I need to trim down. My index funds are HODL.To really properly answer some context is probably warranted.
There is really three separate camps with me. I'm always trading options as a means of income, the change I'm making is to investments. After this week I will be at my lowest level of investment exposure since the end of February. After this week I'll only be holding SPY, SBUX, KO, JPM, T and PFE. SBUX I sold some calls against for this Friday so may be dumping that as well. With the proceeds from sales in the investment camp I'll be selling cash secured puts on the market at levels that interest me to set up to re enter the market when I think it's more advantageous to do so.
There is a third camp that I rarely touch which is 401k which is always invested in an index fund and I very rarely make any changes with. (maybe 1-2 moves a year at most) I don't even really look at it.
Because I already have what I need to never work again some of these type of decisions about exposure are going to be different than for someone who might still be working towards financial independence.
I use about $750k in cash for my income generation via options (I make about $8-10k/mo.)
My investment portfolio is in low 7 figures and I do move that money in and out of the market as you've seen this year. That is really my nest egg, and my goal is not to beat the market over a long period it's to produce the best return I can with the lowest beta possible. Very much about risk management for me.
Then 401k is a ballast of sorts or maybe an insurance policy on me making a major f up. That account is just sub $300k
More info than you were asking for but I think context is quite crucial to weighing a financial move. A reader having this basic layout of my situation can help with a better understanding of why me selling or buying at a particular time might not apply in the way they think it might without the info.
Except we're not Japan. You talk about the Boomers, but there is a Millennial generation just as large that is now in the consumption phase. Japan didn't have that.I'm no expert, but as I understand the situation the real impending problem that the Fed is scared of is deflation. There are two massive deflationary pressures on the market right now. First, technology consolidates services and makes them cheaper, this lowers asset prices. Second, the boomer's are retiring and we have a large demographics problem with an increasingly large proportion of society no longer providing economic value. Those same boomer's are relying on ever increasing asset prices in order to retire. You can look at Japan's economy for an example, they're about ~10 years ahead of us in regard to demographic age.
Fed is much more concerned about asset prices dumping and an entire generation going completely broke (well, more broke since 2008 really fucked them). The fear of inflation comes from the almost guaranteed result of them overshooting on inflation, or at least the fact that all of that liquidity is going to move eventually. This is obviously ignoring the fact that 95% of USD value has already been inflated away.
Fed has over meddled in the economy and its on the point of breaking on an international scale. Our monetary policy is largely causing all of the inflation issues in smaller countries. You could make a convincing argument that true inflation won't hit the US while we remain the world reserve currency, but I've seen that idea challenged recently. I don't think anyone knows for sure.
Please correct me if I'm misstating any of this pals.
Sanrith Descartes
Please tell me if I am a retard with poor reading comprehension. I understand that holder of record get the split here but there are articles from CNN finance and Barrons both saying the exact opposite. If I am indeed a retard I'll take my ~$1000 bucks now.
Heres how TDA explained it to me.
How will the AAPL and TSLA stock splits affect my account?
Apple Inc. (AAPL) recently announced a 4-for-1 stock split and Tesla Inc. (TSLA) announced a 5-for-1 split. Both splits take effect on Aug. 31 (for AAPL shareholders of record on Aug. 24, and for TSLA shareholders of record on Aug 21). The stock splits happen automatically in your account and you are not required to do anything. TD Ameritrade does not charge a fee for this type of a stock split.
If you hold shares of AAPL before the market open on Aug. 31 you will own four shares for every one you held, and the stock price will be reduced to one-fourth of its value at the start of trading on Aug. 31. For example, if you hold 100 shares of AAPL trading at $400 per share, after the split you will own 400 shares valued at $100 per share. Likewise, if you own 1 options call controlling 100 shares with a strike price of $400, after the split you would own 4 contracts and control 400 shares at a $100 strike price.
If you hold shares of TSLA before the market opens on Aug. 31 you will own five shares for every one you held, and the stock price will be reduced to one-fifth of its value at the start of trading on Aug. 31. For example, if you hold 100 shares of TSLA trading at $1,500 per share, after the split you will own 500 shares valued at $300 per share. Likewise, if you own 1 options call controlling 100 shares with a strike price of $1,500, after the split you would own 5 contracts and control 500 shares at a $300 strike price.
If you sell AAPL or TSLA shares after the record dates (Aug. 24 for AAPL and Aug. 21 TSLA) but before Aug. 31, you will sell them at the pre-split price. You will not be entitled to the split shares.
For example, if on the last business day of trading, Aug. 28, you sell 300 AAPL shares for a presplit market price of $400 per share you will receive $120,000. You will not receive any split shares.
If you buy AAPL or TSLA shares after the record dates but before Aug. 31, you will purchase shares at the presplit price. Following the split, you will receive the additional shares resulting from the stock split.
For example, if on Aug. 26 you buy 100 AAPL shares at $400 per share (and hold them through the open on Aug. 31), you will pay $40,000. You will receive 300 additional shares after the stock split, and the price will be reduced to the post-split price.
Splits dont happen that often and I think there is some misinformation around not out of malice but from not knowing. Dividends are simple. There is the record date, call it Jan 1st and the ex-div date usually set one business day before that. Call it Dec 31st. So the exchange has to process and completed the trade prior to Jan 1 because on Jan 1 the owner of record is determined for the dividend pay out.Sanrith Descartes
Please tell me if I am a retard with poor reading comprehension. I understand that holder of record get the split here but there are articles from CNN finance and Barrons both saying the exact opposite. If I am indeed a retard I'll take my ~$1000 bucks now.
This is how it works for dividends. Selling a stock on the ex-div date means you get the dividend instead of the person who bought the stock.I was reading WSB discord last night for lulz and the plan for a lot of them seems to revolve around selling between record date and before split date. The idea is they are selling you 1 at the pre-split price, getting the difference in split shares and you get stuck holding the bag with your one.
I thought to myself. That sounds retarded it can't be true.
This is how it works for dividends. Selling a stock on the ex-div date means you get the dividend instead of the person who bought the stock.
If you read what AAPL posted on its own site it makes clear that you have to be the owner of record on the 24th to get the shares. which jibes with what Nasdaq says. I think there is just a wording snafu someplace.