So, I am seeking some brainiac types to analyze this problem. I'm thinking about buying a buildable lot in Fl on the coast for retirement home. Here is the quandry...
Buying now means opportunity cost of not having the money in equities. I have to consider the possible increase in property value over time if I decide 5 or 10 years from now I don't want to live there (if the neighborhood goes all Baltimore). Will I make more in equities than I will save waiting to by coastal property down the road. Insurance costs will be negligible amd taxes minor since it's undeveloped. On the other side my retirement home cost will just be the house itself and not house plus lot.
Hmmm.
I’m from small town Florida and my parents area (and their house) has went up substantially over the past 2-3 years. I had pondered buying a rental house where I grew up. About 4-5 years ago they were around $100-125k for a 2000 sqft house with a nice yard and pool and had been that stagnant more or less for 10-15 years, now those houses are 200-225ish.Nothing I've seen shows we're near 2007 levels of housing bubble. The only bubbles are secluded to areas like California where a shitty 2 BR is going in the million+ range. Our company in NE FL has been finding a lot more talent from out of state than I'm used to seeing, at least in the food industry which is typically local hiring. In the last couple months we've hired managers from AZ, 3 from NC, GA, TX etc. And they all struggled big time just finding an apartment to rent temporarily let alone finding a permanent house, it's pretty crazy over here. As NY/CA continues to go down the shitter I see TX/FL and a few others continue to do well as the rats flee the ship.
So, I am seeking some brainiac types to analyze this problem. I'm thinking about buying a buildable lot in Fl on the coast for retirement home. Here is the quandry...
Buying now means opportunity cost of not having the money in equities. I have to consider the possible increase in property value over time if I decide 5 or 10 years from now I don't want to live there (if the neighborhood goes all Baltimore). Will I make more in equities than I will save waiting to by coastal property down the road. Insurance costs will be negligible amd taxes minor since it's undeveloped. On the other side my retirement home cost will just be the house itself and not house plus lot.
Hmmm.
I am not seeing lot prices rising the way I am seeing house prices rise. I am seeing beach lots in the 75k-100k range for standard size lots a block or two from the sand. I think the money is buying houses because they want to move now.My family built a house on the beach in FL in the 40’s for $4,000. In the 90’s it was valued at $190,000. The house next to it just went up for sale for $1,900,000 and is a dump.
Beach property is premium property. It’s also a sellers market. Why not wait for a buyers market? Do it like stonks. Buy low sell high.
I am just looking at shortable share info and trying to calculate which stocks are out of shortable shares so I can estimate a bottom. MP down under $28 this morning.Bought more CWSFF at .71-.73, not doing much otherwise with the market still screwy.
I am less about a correction (since we just finished one in Tech) and more about looking for oversold quality stocks to pick up on the cheap. HD has been a star for me the last month or two after it crashed with everything else. I am up 22% in about 2 months and got to grab a dividend also. The eternal quest is to search for quality when the fear runs rampant.Maybe this week will be the start of a 10% correction. Seems way overdue, but with the weird ass covid v downturn/recovery, I don't know what to make of anything lately.