Yes you are cocksucker. You are saying one hypothetical is more likely than another "because I'm pretty sure".I'm not making assumptions at all.
Someone who has never beaten someone to a point where they died from their injuries before(Side note it takes a lot fucking less than you might think to kill a person) decided to ground pound a hispanic guy who outweighs them by however the fuck much a lot actually is. Something else he has never done before today. It's a day of firsts dipshit and saying a particular first would never have happened is a big god damn assumption. Unlikely and entirely possible are two concepts that can actually fucking coexist, ask a lottery winner.