Lithose
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I said the Olympics after this one, if you don't see some dramatic shift, we'll most likely see lower tier teams more desperate for a win fielding transexuals--which will force a response in the subsequent Olympics. That I expect female sports to essentially become "transexual" sports relatively soon, within a decade (Again, if society maintains its current course). You said that was unlikely, wouldn't happen.
Just keep you apprised.
Actually, since we last spoke I've done kind of a deep dive on genetics and heritability. My position against any kind of hormone replacement or cessation for children is now even more firm. The literature illustrating the problems from such things is immense and the efficacy is not at all established well. The arguments against the 80% resolution, such as the classification quibbling over gender non-conforming and dysphoric are relatively weak (Mainly because it leaves the corroborating group as tiny without long term efficacy.)
In addition, the overall efficacy doesn't seem really there, the study into the actual cellular and biochemical effects is just non-existent, its all broader physiology. For example, your assertion here is that if you transition younger there will be no difference...Except, that's also not true. While it is true that there will be LESS of a difference if puberty is blocked(And I said so last time) , there are differences in phenotype expression and hormonal uptake at the cellular and genetic level which will never be changed, ever. Even if you wash these cells in alternate hormones, they react differently and express their genetic information differently.
Disabled people might want to compete in sports, too. Think we should let a paraplegic with a couple tesla engines on his wheel chair into various running competitions? How about a man that just wants to take hormones?
There are limitations on sports already. Competing in a sport is not a human right. If its acceptable to limit males from enhancing themselves, or limit women's leagues to under X testosterone and he exclusion of males, then there should be no issue with accepting transgender people can't compete. We accept the exclusion of groups all the time. For some reason its oppression here. Why? If you can't ensure fairness, which you can't because at the cellular, biochemical level there are major differences, then exclusion is the best way to maintain fairness.
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