Investing General Discussion

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Blazin

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<Nazi Janitors>
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Summary is the market expected the quarter but they wanted a fed who was still leaning towards cuts. He was more hawkish, being more concerned with inflation than was expected
 
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tugofpeace

Trakanon Raider
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Summary is the market expected the quarter but they wanted a fed who was still leaning towards cuts. He was more hawkish, being more concerned with inflation than was expected

I think he's right. Too much money still flowing around

Seeing the REEEEE on random stocktwits pages though, provides the lols

lol.jpg
 
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General Antony

Ahn'Qiraj Raider
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Yea, this is true. I might decide to put in a bit more. I was mistaken actually, I only want to drop $75k in, keep the rest for a rainy day.

I am thinking to do 80% SPY, 20% VXUS. What do you guys think about that? This is a topic that's been beaten to death but I like having the international exposure.

I thought SPY over VOO due to options liquidity but in reality it doesn't seem very smart to sell options on SPY in case you get assigned and have to realize the gains.. although you could just buy out the option before that happens.

I'd drop VXUS to at most 10%. Every other market is truly fucked and the headwinds they're facing are only going to continue to get worse. Eventually their valuations will get so bad that they might outperform, but we're not there yet.

I'd also get VTI or some other total US market over SPY. It probably won't make a difference but I think there is a reasonable case where smaller caps over-perform.
 

Lambourne

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2,898
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Yea, this is true. I might decide to put in a bit more. I was mistaken actually, I only want to drop $75k in, keep the rest for a rainy day.

I am thinking to do 80% SPY, 20% VXUS. What do you guys think about that? This is a topic that's been beaten to death but I like having the international exposure.

I thought SPY over VOO due to options liquidity but in reality it doesn't seem very smart to sell options on SPY in case you get assigned and have to realize the gains.. although you could just buy out the option before that happens.

You might want to look into the various MSCI indexes, they can get you into first world stocks, emerging market stocks or a mixture of both depending on your preference. Personally I hold mostly MSCI World which is the 1500 largest companies in the blue countries, basically the classic Western economies plus Japan, HK and Singapore. US stock market is by far the largest of those so you get like 65-70% overlap with the S&P500.

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tugofpeace

Trakanon Raider
399
826
You might want to look into the various MSCI indexes, they can get you into first world stocks, emerging market stocks or a mixture of both depending on your preference. Personally I hold mostly MSCI World which is the 1500 largest companies in the blue countries, basically the classic Western economies plus Japan, HK and Singapore. US stock market is by far the largest of those so you get like 65-70% overlap with the S&P500.


I'd drop VXUS to at most 10%. Every other market is truly fucked and the headwinds they're facing are only going to continue to get worse. Eventually their valuations will get so bad that they might outperform, but we're not there yet.

I'd also get VTI or some other total US market over SPY. It probably won't make a difference but I think there is a reasonable case where smaller caps over-perform.

I actually hold VXUS in my roth, and also hold it in my 401k. I decided to just get rid of it alltogether in my taxable brokerage and went 100% SPY.

I might change that later since SPY is held up by the magnificent 7.. I'm thinking VTI or this MSCI is probably a better bet.
 

Blazin

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<Nazi Janitors>
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Blazin Blazin couple questions:

-why RSP instead of SPY or some other equivalent?

-what kind of price target are you looking at for an exit?

TIA
RSP because I'm positioning for a reversal of the current trend into big tech. So RSP being equal weight will outperform in that scenario. The RSP/IWM part of the same bet we get a violent counter trend move.

These two are a shorter term trade. Less thinking of a particular price target and more of a I would sell when the counter trend lost momentum if it where to occur. Ideal set up would be IWM 236 and RSP 183. So looking for around $15,000 next two weeks would be the play. If either where to set a new high I would become more patient and likely just trail around the 50day ma

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Blazin

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$800k in yesterday in total, I'm seeing a set up for an epic rally.


Yardeni just on CNBC "we could see down 10%" This guy was just ridiculously bullish a week ago. This is what we want. It's what I've been waiting for. People where way too positive and it's amazing how quickly fear creeps in, which is what the market needs to stay healthy. Now all of a sudden they can list of bunch of possible negatives.

Now some may be feeling like damn we barely went down, and that's true if looking at SPY but we have been in a multiple week correction trigger oversold conditions all over the place. 7 stocks kept a lot of people's attention away from that.
 
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