Investing General Discussion

  • Guest, it's time once again for the massively important and exciting FoH Asshat Tournament!



    Go here and give us your nominations!
    Who's been the biggest Asshat in the last year? Give us your worst ones!

Blazin

Creative Title
<Nazi Janitors>
7,304
36,985
Well that was a fun couple bars in NVDA, some shenanigans around $140 strike . Would have been nice to get a strong close but semi's lost their steam today as everything else gained.

The counter trend trade right now is not firing.

Also let it be known I move the bond market with my trades
1735063159118.png
 
Last edited:
  • 1Like
  • 1To the Moon!
Reactions: 1 users

Sanrith Descartes

You have insufficient privileges to reply here.
<Gold Donor>
46,195
128,264
Orange Santa is giving us a beautiful rally to end the year. Cheers.

As we sit here on Christmas Eve, I am going to take a moment to wish everyone and their families a great holiday. I am also going to take a moment to apologize to anyone in this thread I have been a dick to this year. Not the rest of the board, just this thread. I realize that as I post across various threads I have on lots of occasions posted something here in a style that did not fit the spirit of what we are about in this thread. This thread should only be about helping each other make the Benjamins. I am also hyper competitive and I let it bleed out into my posts on occasion. So to all I have offended here this year...

sorry barack obama GIF by NowThis


That being said a new investing year is upon us. I am willing to help anyone who asks. We all have different strategies and I have a very specific one. I am generally risk averse, and focus on minimizing any losses by keeping my dollars in ultra high quality stocks. I rarely gamble. I go old school and spend lots of times dissecting financial statements. Its all about consistency for me. I had one red month all year and 11 green months. I used options to add alpha throughout the year.

This is my 3rd year out of 4 beating the S&P and that is my only goal. If I can't beat the S&P then I should just put all my money into SPY and walk away. My return this year is insane and a couple of stocks really pushed it (TSLA, PLTR, etc). I don't invest for homeruns, so I tend to ignore meme stocks and the flavor of the month. I want EPS and EPS growth, low debt and lots of cashflow. I especially like market dominance bordering on monopolistic positions.

1735066709895.png


1735069308186.png


Celebrate In Love GIF by Max
 
  • 6Like
  • 1Solidarity
Reactions: 6 users

ToeMissile

Pronouns: zie/zhem/zer
<Gold Donor>
3,407
2,223
Orange Santa is giving us a beautiful rally to end the year. Cheers.

As we sit here on Christmas Eve, I am going to take a moment to wish everyone and their families a great holiday. I am also going to take a moment to apologize to anyone in this thread I have been a dick to this year. Not the rest of the board, just this thread. I realize that as I post across various threads I have on lots of occasions posted something here in a style that did not fit the spirit of what we are about in this thread. This thread should only be about helping each other make the Benjamins. I am also hyper competitive and I let it bleed out into my posts on occasion. So to all I have offended here this year...

sorry barack obama GIF by NowThis


That being said a new investing year is upon us. I am willing to help anyone who asks. We all have different strategies and I have a very specific one. I am generally risk averse, and focus on minimizing any losses by keeping my dollars in ultra high quality stocks. I rarely gamble. I go old school and spend lots of times dissecting financial statements. Its all about consistency for me. I had one red month all year and 11 green months. I used options to add alpha throughout the year.

This is my 3rd year out of 4 beating the S&P and that is my only goal. If I can't beat the S&P then I should just put all my money into SPY and walk away. My return this year is insane and a couple of stocks really pushed it (TSLA, PLTR, etc). I don't invest for homeruns, so I tend to ignore meme stocks and the flavor of the month. I want EPS and EPS growth, low debt and lots of cashflow. I especially like market dominance bordering on monopolistic positions.

View attachment 566283

View attachment 566289

Celebrate In Love GIF by Max
37%? Noob :trollface:
1735070884257.png


90% luck, 5% not a complete moron, 5% reading this thread
 
  • 3Like
  • 1Worf
Reactions: 3 users

Dalren

Trakanon Raider
34
19
My smaller account:
1735076048131.png


The larger account is 89.81% which i started this year around late march. First year of trading/investing in actual stocks/options vs the prepackaged etfs and mutual funds I've been in for the past decade. Fully understand we are in a bull and results next year could be wildly different. Hoping to repeat, but need to keep a cool head and not get greedy.
 
  • 4Like
Reactions: 3 users

Dalren

Trakanon Raider
34
19
What do you mean unexpected? Every time he buys bitcoin he dilutes shares.
I think the 31x increase in share optionality is what caught me off guard. I expected him to request more, just not a MAG 7 size of shares for their disposal.
 
  • 1Like
Reactions: 1 user

Blazin

Creative Title
<Nazi Janitors>
7,304
36,985
Great returns everyone just be aware that the investments that deliver outsized returns have outsized pullbacks . In a year with no pullbacks traders can become complacent to the risk . Don’t be afraid to book some gains or trail stops don’t let them have it back !
 
  • 7Like
  • 1Paper Hands
  • 1Truth!
Reactions: 9 users

Tmac

Adventurer
<Aristocrat╭ರ_•́>
10,188
17,578
1735145080788.png


Am trash at this game :(

If I ever learn to take profits I might actually make pretty good dough. Was up as high as 100% at one point.
 
  • 4Like
Reactions: 3 users

sliverstorm

Trakanon Raider
123
247
Extended my unbroken streak of not underperforming the S&P 500 and not outperforming it. Shoutout to all the other passive investors hanging out in this thread.
 
  • 5Like
  • 2Solidarity
Reactions: 6 users

Sanrith Descartes

You have insufficient privileges to reply here.
<Gold Donor>
46,195
128,264
The S&P 500 doubled your money in 5 years (199.89% cumulative return). Doubling return on a passive investment...

Hasan Minhaj GIF by First We Feast
 

Gravel

Mr. Poopybutthole
41,290
140,657
Is that from the dip in December 2018? I still remember that one. It feels quaint now in retrospect.

Edit: Shit, forgot we were in 2024, and it would've been just before covid hit in 2019. Time flies.
 
  • 1Like
Reactions: 1 user

Flobee

Vyemm Raider
2,758
3,210
Largely a YOLO bitcoin strat with some going straight to S&P. Essentially all trading I did was in the red because I'm retarded. Obviously my red years are uh, very red. Bitcoin historically averaged ~60% YoY so red years have been worth it

1735218193421.png
 
  • 3Like
Reactions: 2 users

Blazin

Creative Title
<Nazi Janitors>
7,304
36,985
bitcoin has put up some awesome returns. THere are late comers who think 80% declines are no longer a threat and it's only up. Nothing doing 100%+ is always up. True hodlers know the 80% declines are the price of entry to getting 3x returns.
 
  • 2Like
  • 1Solidarity
  • 1Worf
Reactions: 3 users

Blazin

Creative Title
<Nazi Janitors>
7,304
36,985
I could see Bitcoin going to $250k and in the relatively near future. Then epically crashing to $70-80k and that would feel shitty would whipe out people on leverage and weak hands but if it were able to find a bottom at $70-80K in a real bear market that would be incredibly bullish long term. For me that would probably be my "True Believer" moment that would have me committing a portion of my capital to it for a very long period.
 
  • 5Like
  • 1Solidarity
Reactions: 5 users

Flobee

Vyemm Raider
2,758
3,210
I could see Bitcoin going to $250k and in the relatively near future. Then epically crashing to $70-80k and that would feel shitty would whipe out people on leverage and weak hands but if it were able to find a bottom at $70-80K in a real bear market that would be incredibly bullish long term. For me that would probably be my "True Believer" moment that would have me committing a portion of my capital to it for a very long period.
Given the amount of time its spent ~60k I would say that's a reasonable floor. While I think its possible we're in a "this time is different" situation, your view here would more or less be my base case.

Edit: if Bitcoin follows a tech adoption S-curve I think waiting for another cycle, or trying to time the top to rebuy later is a mistake though.
 

Blazin

Creative Title
<Nazi Janitors>
7,304
36,985
Given the amount of time its spent ~60k I would say that's a reasonable floor. While I think its possible we're in a "this time is different" situation, your view here would more or less be my base case.

Edit: if Bitcoin follows a tech adoption S-curve I think waiting for another cycle, or trying to time the top to rebuy later is a mistake though.
Mistake depends on what your doing with your money and why. I manage my children's money I hod'l bitcoin for them. I weigh risk/reward and apply it to goals and individual dynamics. 99% of what I post here , is the viewpoint for me specifically given my wealth level, future income, goals etc. I manage money that I may be making entirely different moves with because the dynamics warrant that.

Sometimes with investment we view it as universal, you either "believe" in a thing or not and if you do "YOLO". I just try my best to achieve goals and these different things are tools that I may or may not apply to that end.

So for my kids the case is already made. For me, Blazin, not yet. That simply means the dynamics will have shifted making it more widely suitable to me than it was.
 
  • 3Like
Reactions: 2 users

Blazin

Creative Title
<Nazi Janitors>
7,304
36,985
Today is a counter trend day so far, not a strong one but the weak are outperforming while the leadership rests. I expect us to see more of these days for a bit.

So RSP/IWM/DIA up, QQQ/crypto down. Semi's are not participating today, this is an item to note and pay attention to. If they underperform on strong risk on days and they underperform on catch up days we need to watch that. Two hours of trading is not a trend, just something to be watching.