Investing General Discussion

Fogel

Mr. Poopybutthole
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I trimmed index holdings just now, you know the ones I said I wasn't going to enter because I was done for the year. Well this time I'm totally cereal.

Is this in reference to your previous post about being 17% above the 200 dma?
 

Blazin

Creative Title
<Nazi Janitors>
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Is this in reference to your previous post about being 17% above the 200 dma?

In part, I'm well ahead of goals and that becomes another consideration. When entering/exiting trades always weighing the evidence to gauge Risk/Reward. Given the markets current position I'd rather take my index Trades off the table, and look for a better set up. Rode the election run up and exited around SPX 3550 but when I saw the bull flag forming, rising interest rates, laggards running, to name a few, I decided the risk reward was still favorable so road it up to today at 3690. My read would be that this could and will likely continue a little more (~3720).

I tend to lighten up on trades once we hit 11-13% over the 200dma, today's further review of data was looking for reasons to stay long on those trades beyond the 17% we are at today and I just decided that the probability of remaining upside was not sufficient to keep me long on them any further, not that I'm now overly bearish.

I still have more than $500k in the market (LT retirement investment) so I don't feel I'm in a position where if we make an unprecedented move upwards say to 3800-4000 in the next 45 days that I would feel like I was missing out. In my trading account I still hold: AAPL, JNJ, KO, LMT, LOW, MSFT, PEP, and VZ .

The market in the coming weeks when this run is over will either consolidate sideways or we may see some more substantial pullback and I'll be lining up ways to respond to either of those outcomes. Without a clear setup and the upper end of a move I try to position myself to equally pleased with a move in either direction. Enough cash to want a pullback and enough equity to be pleased when they climb.

A pullback to mid 3500s would have me nibbling, I'd become more aggressive near 3400. Lots and Lots of things to be watching in the near term, we know bankruptcies are likely to rise and I'll be watching spreads in the credit market to see how it is absorbing that. Today's job number is insufficient and is likely to continue to be so until we are clear of the virus. We need to see how markets begin to respond to flatlining data. Politically the two senate seats in GA are a concern and could act as a catalyst.
 
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Big Phoenix

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Let me tell you a little story about a company called 3DFX. It was 2000 and young Blazin had hopes and dreams of striking it big ...


Sorry I can't go on the wound is still too fresh and cut too deep

Vodoo is a curse..
 
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Locnar

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Fucking TRIT. I was one of the original investors back in June. It basically flatlined for 6 straight months so two weeks ago I decide to make a little scratch and sell some covered calls. Bang, up 16% today on no news and 10x normal volume. And here I was thinking i was gonna coast into the 12/18 expiry on what options I hadnt closed out yet.

I appreciated you showcasing this stock, I bought it first time you mentioned it, then I think I sold it for some reason, and bought it again early November when you brought it back up on the radar and held it since. I appreciate you sharing your researching on all the stocks you bring up, keep it up plz.
 
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Sanrith Descartes

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I appreciated you showcasing this stock, I bought it first time you mentioned it, then I think I sold it for some reason, and bought it again early November when you brought it back up on the radar and held it since. I appreciate you sharing your researching on all the stocks you bring up, keep it up plz.
No problem. Just remember to remit my 1% advising fee at the end of the year. Just multiply your total account balance by 0.01 and Venmo me the amount. 😀
 
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Wingz

Being Poor Sucks.
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Fucking TRIT. I was one of the original investors back in June. It basically flatlined for 6 straight months so two weeks ago I decide to make a little scratch and sell some covered calls. Bang, up 16% today on no news and 10x normal volume. And here I was thinking i was gonna coast into the 12/18 expiry on what options I hadnt closed out yet.
I was going to do the same but held it because I was on vacation this week so I didn't go into trading much of anything. Looking forward to the bit of bump. May hold on a bit more to see if it goes higher.
 
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Big Phoenix

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Khane

Got something right about marriage
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Why would the founder of a niche tech company admit that?

"COVID sure was a godsend wasn't it fellas?!"

Fucking piece of shit.
 
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TJT

Mr. Poopybutthole
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I maintain that next year when yearly contracts are renegotiated taking 2020 into account, huge tax revenue gaps, and the rent/loan moratoriums end the landscape is going to be a lot less jovial.
 
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Flobee

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Surely they realize society cant sustain itself on niche tech companies right?
COVID essentially killed many traditional business models and forced most businesses to fully invest in their virtual presence. it is the birth of a new economy even if that is terrible news. He's right. We'll never go back to pre-COVID and I think that's his point.
 
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Sanrith Descartes

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COVID essentially killed many traditional business models and forced most businesses to fully invest in their virtual presence. it is the birth of a new economy even if that is terrible news. He's right. We'll never go back to pre-COVID and I think that's his point.
I won't 100% agree they had to shift to a virtual model, but they most certainly had to shift to a new model. Example, all of the McDonald's near my business are owned by the same franchisee. Even though he is allowed to have indoor seating, he is still shutdown for inside dining. By comparison the BKs around him are open inside. Only time will tell if the savings in labor cost and liability insurance will compensate for change in revenue at the McD.
 
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Sanrith Descartes

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I maintain that next year when yearly contracts are renegotiated taking 2020 into account, huge tax revenue gaps, and the rent/loan moratoriums end the landscape is going to be a lot less jovial.
I agree there are a lot of unknowns for 2021. But, unknowns mean volatility and money can be made on volatility. Lost too.
 
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Wingz

Being Poor Sucks.
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Playboy SPAC "MCAC" comes on the scene.

 

Sanrith Descartes

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Playboy SPAC "MCAC" comes on the scene.

This is the type of shit that gives SPACs a bad name. What a great business model Playboy has. SMH. Its why due diligence is extra important for SPACs. Depending on the structure, Founders can make bank even if the underlying deal is shit for investors. Its why the SPACs now charging a "fee" to exchange warrants for shares. Trash, boiler room shit.
 
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Locnar

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Playboy SPAC "MCAC" cums on the scene.


FIFY
 
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