Investing General Discussion

swayze22

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Cut to michael burry

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Sanrith Descartes

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Say what you want about Heisenberg and shorts in general, but I wont bet against Heisenberg's reports.

 

Wingz

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Buying CHPT since its EV charging stations and charging is specifically called out in the infrastructure bill if/when it passes. 500000 stations I think is called for.
 

swayze22

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Say what you want about Heisenberg and shorts in general, but I wont bet against Heisenberg's reports.


When I looked at Lordstown early this year there wasn't much concrete info other than their suppliers (GM,Elaphe,Samsung,Goodyear), and the normal marketing fluff. They had some huge projections in sales for not even having NHTSA certification at the time. $1.5B+. Think this was mostly due to the "wishful" pre-orders not really being preorders. Kinda sketch overall.
 

Furry

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When I looked at Lordstown early this year there wasn't much concrete info other than their suppliers (GM,Elaphe,Samsung,Goodyear), and the normal marketing fluff. They had some huge projections in sales for not even having NHTSA certification at the time. $1.5B+. Think this was mostly due to the "wishful" pre-orders not really being preorders. Kinda sketch overall.
Pretty much everything about the EV market has been sketchy lately. NKLA is still valued north of 6b. That's the equivalent of valuing my uncle's concrete laying business north of 6b because he has plans. The whole sector is in the grip of insanity.
 
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Sanrith Descartes

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Pretty much everything about the EV market has been sketchy lately. NKLA is still valued north of 6b. That's the equivalent of valuing my uncle's concrete laying business north of 6b because he has plans. The whole sector is in the grip of insanity.
The EV "disruptor" window closed when GM, F, BMW and VW etc decided to seriously enter the market instead of just some shitty one-off model to appease Cali regulators. The Asian OEMs are either sitting back and watching or are behind the curve technologically and are playing catch-up. Add in TSLA with first to market advantage and the Lordstown/NKLA/Lucid vaporware companies don't stand a chance.
 

Sanrith Descartes

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PLTR

Palantir Has Quietly Become a Major SPAC Investor. Here's Why. -- Barrons.com

The big data analytics company Palantir Technologies(PLTR) has quietly become an aggressive investor in companies going public via SPACs, or special purpose acquisition companies.

A SPAC is basically a management group that raises capital through an initial public offering with the express purpose to make an acquisition. The acquired company becomes publicly traded without the usual IPO process. Companies going public via SPAC often raise additional capital via a structure known as a PIPE, an acronym for "private investment in public equity." While most PIPE participants are institutional investors, they sometimes include strategic investors.

And that's where Palantir(PLTR) comes in.

To date, Palantir(PLTR) has participated in at least eight SPAC-related PIPE transactions, investing well over $100 million, using the deals as a way to win business from emerging companies that can benefit from Palantir's(PLTR) big data analytics software. In effect, Palantir(PLTR) is providing capital up front in return for a multiyear commitments to use the company's software.

Shyam Sankar, Palantir's(PLTR) chief operating officer, says there's a historic perception that Palantir's(PLTR) software is only suitable for very large companies and government agencies. "We don't think that to be true, " he says. "With SPACs, we see a historic opportunity to invest in our customers."

Sankar says Palantir(PLTR) has invested under 10% of the company's $2.4 billion in cash on hand through end of March. That figure implies Palantir's(PLTR) total PIPE spending could be as high as $240 million. Palantir's(PLTR) latest 10-Q filing with the SEC discloses $132 million in total PIPE investments spread over five deals; that includes a $20 million investment in an unspecified company.

Sankar says Palantir(PLTR) has focused its investments on emerging businesses that should benefit from using Palantir's(PLTR) software; the company has only invested in about 10% of the deals it sees, he says. The company appears less focused on financial returns from these transactions than in building relationships with potentially significant customers -- it's effectively an exercise in business development. In every deal in which terms have been announced, Palantir(PLTR) is signing a parallel software contract. Sankar says in most cases the long-term value of the contracts exceed Palantir's(PLTR) upfront investment in the PIPE.

Palantir (PLTR) confirmed its participation in eight SPAC investments to date. Here's a rundown of the deals:

-- So far, the single largest investment is a $41 million stake in Lilium, a
German based developer of electric-powered air taxis, 7-seat jets that
can vertically take off and land. The company is combining with Qell
Acquisition (QELL), a SPAC started by a former General Motors executive.
Lillium has signed a five-year contract wight Palantir(PLTR). Other investors
in the $450 million PIPE deal include Baillie Gifford, BlackRock(BLK) ,
Tencent (TCEHY), PIMCO, and others.

-- Palantir(PLTR) is investing $21 million in Sarcos Robotics, which makes
industrial robots. Sarcos is merging with Rotor Acquisition (ROT). The
combination includes a $220 million PIPE deal, with an investment group
that also includes BlackRock(BLK), Caterpillar Venture Capital, Schlumberger
(SLB) and others. Palantir(PLTR) won a six-year software contract from Sarcos.

-- Celularity, a company developing pharmaceuticals from human placenta, has
a pending transaction to merge with GX Acquisition Corp. (GXGX). In May,
the company announced a "multiyear strategic partnership" with Palantir(PLTR)
which includes making an investment immediately on the close of the
merger. Palantir(PLTR) has invested $20 million in the deal, while Ceularity
agreed to a five-year contract with the company.

-- Roivant Sciences is a growing collection of pharmaceutical companies
which has agreed to merge with Montes Archimedes Acquisition Corp.
(MAAC). Investors in the deal's $200 million PIPE offering also include
SoftBank (SFTBY), Fidelity, and Sumitomo Dainippon Pharma, among others.
Palantir(PLTR) is investing $30 million in Roivant, which also signed a
five-year software contract.

-- Babylon Health, which provides app-based healthcare delivery, has agreed
to merger with Alkuri Global Acquisition Corp. (KURI). Palantir(PLTR) has
invested in the company's $230 million PIPE transaction, along with
Montreal-based Sectoral Asset Management and Stockholm-based Swedbank
Robur. (Palantir(PLTR) uses Babylon's service for its U.K.-based employees.)

-- Pear Therapeutics, which provides prescription based digital therapies,
is merging with Thimble Point Acquisition (THMA). Palantir's(PLTR) co-investors
in the deal's $125 million PIPE include SoftBank, Temasek, and Novartis
(NVS), among others.

-- Boxed.com, is an online retailer of consumer goods sold in bulk,
Costco-style. The company is coming public via a merger with Seven Oaks
Acquisition Corp. (SVOK). Other investors include Brigade Capital
Management, Avanda Investment Management, and Onex Credit.

-- Wejo, which provides connected vehicle information services, is merging
with Virtuoso Acquisition Corp. (VOCO). Palantir(PLTR) and General Motors(GM)
invested in the company's $100 PIPE offering.
Palantir (PLTR) shares were down 1% Friday afternoon, to $24.48.
 

Sanrith Descartes

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The reversal from the initial reaction to jobs report may be a signal that we are close to a bottom. Market has been a difficult read, the explosive up trade Monday followed by the last few days is not typical. If we rally today we could even end the week flat, and from that perspective it's a lot of emotion and roll coaster but until the evidence shows otherwise I think it is just a healthy correction. Interest rates are just the excuse, the nominal rate is not a threat to the trend at this level.

💎 :emoji_open_hands:

I see the setup for the push over 4000 for the S&P materials, energy and financials can now tread water and if Tech rallies we are going to blow past the previous high.
For those looking for places to go, AAPL is a nice entry at $119. FTEC is at the 100 DMA.


This was from March 5th. About 4 months to the day from today.
AAPL +18% since then
FTEC +20%
MSFT +24% since then
S&P500 +632 points since then

The mantra: Buy quality when its on sale and diamond hands the shit out of it. And listen to Blazin cause he tends to be right more than he is wrong.
 
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