Investing General Discussion
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Rangoth
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Rangoth remember me saying it was all about the guidance? UNH guides lower, stock crushed.
Yea, probably should have held! I do take big risks sometimes(like my SOFI failure on earnings) but I don't know enough about UNH and I was already up over 10% so I got nervous. I mean....I had a damn 592P on it!, which I sold @ 18$ and it's now worth over 100$
I literally missed about 300k in gains
Looking at it makes me /sad panda big time, but as I said in a post after that, it's why I'll never be the dude turning 30k into 3 million....I dont have the balls to hold that long, over that volatility, or into earnings most of the time.However, and I've mentioned this many times, with my "play" money, anytime I get a win I put about half into stable things(SPY) and the other half add to my play pool. I think once both pools get big enough I'll have the balls to go a bit harder on some clearly risky plays every now and then.
EDIT:
Bought 2 NFLX Puts for their earnings after hours today. Only about a 9k bet, but after not holding UNH I'm feeling lucky/greedy. This is a total shot in the dark earnings play with low money.
Netflix up 18$ or about 2%....i think people know something I don't. My 10k bet is down so much it's not even worth selling at a loss now. Pray on drop in earnings or a correction next week lol
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Haus
I am Big Balls!
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Khane
Got something right about marriage
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Blazin
Creative Title
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Powell was a little too political yesterday, that may seem to be an odd statement compared to Trumps bombast. You'd have to speak Fed to fully appreciate. The Fed is very cautious in it's language and he was taking a "we are not supportive, we could be, but at this time no."
We may all hate the Fed but markets are far more likely to go risk on when the fed has their back and the Fed is signaling the market is on its own. It's going to be viewed as political when we get vix spike of 60 and Fed ISN"T supportive.
It can be summed up with the AI Jerome saying "fuck your calls".
We may all hate the Fed but markets are far more likely to go risk on when the fed has their back and the Fed is signaling the market is on its own. It's going to be viewed as political when we get vix spike of 60 and Fed ISN"T supportive.
It can be summed up with the AI Jerome saying "fuck your calls".
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Sanrith Descartes
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Federal Judge rules GOOGL holds an illegal monopoly over online advertising. This will allow the gubmint to look for a break-up of Alphabet in some way. Stock actually moves higher after the news.
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Big Phoenix
Pronouns: zie/zhem/zer
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Probably thinking they can now unload their million useless projects/divisions?
Sanrith Descartes
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I'm wondering what Youtube is worth. At least we know Trump doesn't like them so not gonna see any sweetheart deals offered.
Big Phoenix
Pronouns: zie/zhem/zer
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Captain Suave
Caesar si viveret, ad remum dareris.
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$550B according to this estimate.
Blazin
Creative Title
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I did end up selling GOOGL from my LT portfolio. Such bad decision making on their part for just too long, employees who are too heavily indoctrinated in a cult to adjust course. Stock may still go up over the next 5 years but I think there is better places for my money. Marks the first sale from LT holders.
Still on watch list, AAPL but they have more leash yet to keep making poor choices before they get the ax too
Still on watch list, AAPL but they have more leash yet to keep making poor choices before they get the ax too
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Was just going to say, NFLX calls on Monday might be able to run a little bit...
Rangoth
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I did protect myself a bit, but my 9k bet will probably be a 4-5k loss Ahh well, I did almost no research on this one. It was a complete gamble that they felt the same pain the overall market sentiment is expressing, i was wrong. I usually do way more research and deserve what I got(or didnt get)
The small bet was an indication of my confidence. But damn, Had I gone the other way I think it would have been a 125% gain as of now.
Ahh well, I did almost no research on this one. It was a complete gamble that they felt the same pain the overall market sentiment is expressing, i was wrong. I usually do way more research and deserve what I got(or didnt get)The small bet was an indication of my confidence. But damn, Had I gone the other way I think it would have been a 125% gain as of now.
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ToeMissile
Pronouns: zie/zhem/zer
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An old post, but I hadn’t seen it shared here. Kinda tempted to create a little side account and just pick a couple of these to mirror.
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Jysin
Ahn'Qiraj Raider
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Without insider info, this is just straight up gambling. It is a coin toss. At least go to Vegas and get some free drinks and comps.
Why are you exposing yourself to such a binary event?
This kind of stuff belongs in the stock shitposting thread.
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Rangoth
Blackwing Lair Raider
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Rangoth
Blackwing Lair Raider
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Does anyone have opinions on upcoming TSLA earnings?
The evidence I have is that it will cause a drop, potentially moderate. The market in general is bearish, TSLA is starting a bearish MA stack, they are under delivering on cars, orders are down y/y, they arr experiencing some tariffs supply chain challengers, cybertruck isn’t a huge hit, their P/E(I know people hate this metric) is over 100 which is insane, and I’m guessing there will be a massive report of cancellations on orders because, political or not, no one wants their car vandalized and due to the political shit TSLA is under attack.
I actually think I’m long on TSLA over 5+ years. As blazin often says, it’s not a car company and elon is motivated and has no shits given. I think they’ll crush self driving, personal robots, AI and more. The company is going places but I feel like it’s in for some short term pain.
my current plan is something like hedged puts on Tuesday’s earnings and after it settles at a lower resistance buy in for the long haul back up to highs.
anyone have thoughts or know anything I don’t?
The evidence I have is that it will cause a drop, potentially moderate. The market in general is bearish, TSLA is starting a bearish MA stack, they are under delivering on cars, orders are down y/y, they arr experiencing some tariffs supply chain challengers, cybertruck isn’t a huge hit, their P/E(I know people hate this metric) is over 100 which is insane, and I’m guessing there will be a massive report of cancellations on orders because, political or not, no one wants their car vandalized and due to the political shit TSLA is under attack.
I actually think I’m long on TSLA over 5+ years. As blazin often says, it’s not a car company and elon is motivated and has no shits given. I think they’ll crush self driving, personal robots, AI and more. The company is going places but I feel like it’s in for some short term pain.
my current plan is something like hedged puts on Tuesday’s earnings and after it settles at a lower resistance buy in for the long haul back up to highs.
anyone have thoughts or know anything I don’t?
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Kithani
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You guys really think so? Weren't we supposed to have self driving like 5 years ago?
Rangoth
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fair point. But as a counter look at all the car or robotics companies in the world. Who do you see winning this race? I think TSLA has the best chance out of all currently available options. Of course some new company could pop up but I don’t see any of the slow moving giant blue chips being as fast or innovative as TSLA. If they really want to be the future of AI and robotics they are in a good position to win.
Elon just put a target on his back recently and I think it will sting the company on the short term until the emotions pass or whatever….