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Blazin

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Not saying it's going to happen, I'm saying the chance of it happening is in the price of the contract based on current rate of volatility. So there is a $1.10 amount of chance
 
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Blazin

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Anyone think TSLA CSPs are pretty easy money? I'm seeing premiums of $1-1.25 for contracts where the underlying has to make a 15% drop to be ITM.

So this week for example, $297.5P yields $1.10.
So TSLA dropped $40.00/share from its high today, if it does it again tomorrow it would be nearly $20 below your strike, that "easy" $1.10 sure can change in a blink
 
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tugofpeace

Trakanon Raider
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So TSLA dropped $40.00/share from its high today, if it does it again tomorrow it would be nearly $20 below your strike, that "easy" $1.10 sure can change in a blink
You're counting premarket where the volume is low and price is manipulated to be much higher. It actually only dropped $21.51 from market open.

That being said, I wouldn't have opened that CSP at market highs, would've waited for a red day.
 

Rangoth

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So that DLO that I previously bought a monthly call and then sold for 17k gain. I ended up getting another call for it during one of the dips because I continue to read good things about the companies prospects, price targets, opportunities, etc.

My current call is Dec. 20th @ 8.00, and they have earnings tonight......the call is not until 1800 EST but methinks someone has insider info.... Awesome jump though! Now I have to decide if I let this ride a bit or just take the win early. avg. price target is in the 10-12$ range so not sure it can climb much higher but the charts looks good and it has positive news flowing for it. I can't really set a stop loss on this because of low liquidity and the low price makes the daily options swings pretty large :( so it would get executed instantly.

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Rangoth

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In the normal investing thread there was talk of speculative plays, but I prefer to keep that shit here. Anyway, my DLO options are up about 30% from earnings, but I have the dec expiry so I am going to let it travel a bit. It's about to bump up against 200DMA resistance wall. If it breaks I will probably hold, but if it bounces down off it then I might take my profits and consider getting back in at a lower price if it keeps fighting it.

My new speculative play, starting out with a small position of 12k, but went with RXRX

My DD is probably crap to some people but essentially it's using AI to help predict/synthesize chemical compounds and molecules instead of the old fashion way of doing it by hand running thousands of computer simulations. nVidia also have a fairly significant investment in them as well which gives me a boost of confidence. Their current financials are poop and short interest is high so this is another speculative play, but it is also starting to get a bit of a cult following online.

It's either going to fail:

  • Fail
  • Actually succeed as a company which would have amazing long term gains
  • get run up on some short squeeze due to the WSB forum
I will exit on #1 and #3 once I am up 20% or more, if it looks like #2 is possible I will probably double my 12k position to what is my max of about 25k on the gamble stocks :)
 

Lunis

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I got these 3 payouts this week, that's $12k in two weeks. As you can see I go goblin mode the first day and then get the $200 consistency days after to secure the payout. To me, this is so much better than a personal account b/c if I blow up my XFA I've only lost a few hundred dollars instead of several thousand. Almost all of the trades were 1 NQ contract. Its definitely high risk/reward, but if you have a strategy that works you will make money.
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Rangoth

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That's awesome! How much time do you invest/"work" a day to achieve that? And I've never traded currencies(FOREX), that's what this is right? Are most of your trades in and out in minutes just using their insane margin?
 

Lunis

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It's futures, not forex. All my trades are on the Nasdaq (NQ) since its good for scalping. Usually trade from 9:30am est to around noon the first day. The rest of the days like 15m-30m.
 

Lunis

Blackwing Lair Raider
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As for the margin, yeah it's insanely high. On a 50k account you have 2k of draw down which isn't a lot when using NQ contracts.. since each candle can be $200-$400 dollars. My average trade time is around 1m using the 1m time frame. Others only last seconds, like scalping a single wick from a key pivot point bounce. It's definitely a rush.

You can trade MNQ instead which is 1/10th the margin. But I personally find that too slow when you're trying to get a payout every week. But I know other people who only trade safe and take a payout once a month. So it all depends on your trading style.
 

Rangoth

Blackwing Lair Raider
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DLO has once again paid off. It is currently bumping up against a 200DMA resistance. If it can break through I will let the call ride a bit, but if it stalls there for a few days without good signals it can break I will sell for profit while it still has some value. Knowing my luck the day I sell it breaks through, but whatever, profit is profit.

It does have a decent history, good metrics, decent latest earnings, and emerging market opportunities with recent political changes. It also has a high short interest which could provide some upward pressure. I like this stock(for now) because it is not super flashy and is creating what appears to be a steady recovery from an all-time low. If the 50DMA does a nice smooth upward motion I'll be watching to get back in in hopes of it breaking positive as well. If it cannot hold I will probably be out of it for a while.

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