Investing General Discussion

  • Guest, it's time once again for the massively important and exciting FoH Asshat Tournament!



    Go here and give us your nominations!
    Who's been the biggest Asshat in the last year? Give us your worst ones!

Sanrith Descartes

You have insufficient privileges to reply here.
<Aristocrat╭ರ_•́>
44,576
120,887
"Going to be" The vix hitting 30 tells you they already did to a rather extreme degree. It's already happened market showing signs of nearing a bottom not just starting. It's crazy thinking that a couple % from high but look at carnage underneath. See previous tweet post. I mentioned this what two weeks ago? The market has been in a correction, we have a few giant corporations that can mask what is occurring at the index level.
So AAPL down another 4% this morning is no bueno?
 

Blazin

Creative Title
<Nazi Janitors>
6,952
36,151
So AAPL down another 4% this morning is no bueno?
Well at 30 secs in I can't quite say yet but I think the pain may be ending for most names yesterday. Now apple getting hit today may do the opposite and hide some of those names finding footing even as index shows red to flat. Apple is definitely the caboose on this correction not the locomotive. I'm not saying the correction is over we may decline a few more percent at the index level if big tech has its turn being weak. Then subsequently we got a strong bounce that is more across the board.
 
  • 1Like
Reactions: 1 user

Sanrith Descartes

You have insufficient privileges to reply here.
<Aristocrat╭ರ_•́>
44,576
120,887
Well at 30 secs in I can't quite say yet but I think the pain may be ending for most names yesterday. Now apple getting hit today may do the opposite and hide some of those names finding footing even as index shows red to flat. Apple is definitely the caboose on this correction not the locomotive. I'm not saying the correction is over we may decline a few more percent at the index level if big tech has its turn being weak. Then subsequently we got a strong bounce that is more across the board.
I hope you are right. I am concerned with fake Omnicron fear mongering and Germany locking away unvaxxed. I think there are some real mines to be watching on he political front.
 
  • 1Like
Reactions: 1 user

Blazin

Creative Title
<Nazi Janitors>
6,952
36,151
I may have personal bias due to position, but I think the payment processors will be the sign that the correction is ending. They started the carnage and have lead it throughout. When they finally bounce I think that is the signal the market turn is likely soon behind.
 
  • 3Like
Reactions: 2 users

Gravel

Mr. Poopybutthole
39,440
129,800
Well at 30 secs in I can't quite say yet but I think the pain may be ending for most names yesterday. Now apple getting hit today may do the opposite and hide some of those names finding footing even as index shows red to flat. Apple is definitely the caboose on this correction not the locomotive. I'm not saying the correction is over we may decline a few more percent at the index level if big tech has its turn being weak. Then subsequently we got a strong bounce that is more across the board.
So I guess you see this as separate from the expected taper drop?

Meaning we potentially recover over the next 3-4 months before getting another taper correction. Which then leads into whether it keeps dropping, or the Fed changes their mind?
 

Sanrith Descartes

You have insufficient privileges to reply here.
<Aristocrat╭ರ_•́>
44,576
120,887
Those DAL puts i wrote yesterday be like...
To The Moon Meme GIF by Shibetoshi Nakamoto
 
  • 2Like
  • 1To the Moon!
Reactions: 2 users

Blazin

Creative Title
<Nazi Janitors>
6,952
36,151
So I guess you see this as separate from the expected taper drop?

Meaning we potentially recover over the next 3-4 months before getting another taper correction. Which then leads into whether it keeps dropping, or the Fed changes their mind?
I do not expect a taper correction. Taper is still bigger QE between now and its end than we received in all of the GFC. Historically stocks do very well in a rising rate environment, just a complete fabrication amongst the media that says otherwise. People even say "taper Tantrum" referring to 2013 and forget that wasnt even in stocks, stocks were booming the tantrum was in bonds.
 
  • 3Like
Reactions: 2 users

Sanrith Descartes

You have insufficient privileges to reply here.
<Aristocrat╭ರ_•́>
44,576
120,887

Sanrith Descartes

You have insufficient privileges to reply here.
<Aristocrat╭ರ_•́>
44,576
120,887
I may have personal bias due to position, but I think the payment processors will be the sign that the correction is ending.
I will be quite happy to see the payment processor/fintech stocks start catching some bids.
 
  • 1Like
Reactions: 1 user

Fogel

Mr. Poopybutthole
13,145
52,077
Got stopped out of CFVI for a minor gain, oh well, was just hoping for another dwac run
 
  • 1Like
Reactions: 1 user

Tmac

Adventurer
<Aristocrat╭ರ_•́>
9,976
17,009
For a fun watch on investing of wealthy people vs plebes and how its done.


I learned something new. Thanks for posting.

Turns out I’m as tax averse as wealthy people!
 
  • 2Like
Reactions: 1 users

Gravel

Mr. Poopybutthole
39,440
129,800
I learned something new. Thanks for posting.

Turns out I’m as tax averse as wealthy people!
It's funny, because I don't particularly love dividendss, but not because of the taxable event. It's more just that they don't seem to perform as well.

Like he mentioned, after the dividend is paid out, the stock drops by that amount. The person who wrote that letter seems like the type that wants instant gratification over long term performance.
 
  • 1Like
Reactions: 1 user

Tmac

Adventurer
<Aristocrat╭ರ_•́>
9,976
17,009
It's funny, because I don't particularly love dividendss, but not because of the taxable event. It's more just that they don't seem to perform as well.

Like he mentioned, after the dividend is paid out, the stock drops by that amount. The person who wrote that letter seems like the type that wants instant gratification over long term performance.

They could just be old and need the dividend as retirement income too.

Or, just completely misunderstand the two whammies of dividends: stock price falls + taxable event.
 

Sanrith Descartes

You have insufficient privileges to reply here.
<Aristocrat╭ರ_•́>
44,576
120,887
It's funny, because I don't particularly love dividendss, but not because of the taxable event. It's more just that they don't seem to perform as well.

Like he mentioned, after the dividend is paid out, the stock drops by that amount. The person who wrote that letter seems like the type that wants instant gratification over long term performance.
My feeling is dividend stocks have a place in a portfolio and that place may expand as the investors life cycle changes. I like dividends. No scratch that, I love dividends. As an investor, I hate seeing companies I own sitting on $60b in cash. Fuck that, give me some of that unless it has a pressing need for an acquisition. As you get older and retire, value stocks with great market dominance and low risk are nice things to hold. A nice mix of some growth for stock appreciation and 2-3% dividend back to me is nice.
 
  • 1Like
Reactions: 1 user

Blazin

Creative Title
<Nazi Janitors>
6,952
36,151
It's funny, because I don't particularly love dividendss, but not because of the taxable event. It's more just that they don't seem to perform as well.

Like he mentioned, after the dividend is paid out, the stock drops by that amount. The person who wrote that letter seems like the type that wants instant gratification over long term performance.
For me it's about actually wanting a benefit to ownership, all other investing is greater fool, meaning you only own a company with the hope someone else wants to own it more than you. I want to share in the profits. If I hold a stock for the long term I dont worry about the current price as much because the company is sharing its profits with me which I'm free to do what I want with. If you own a non dividend player for a long term you have nothing other than the stock price and gain no benefit until you cease to be an owner. Company's should only NOT pay a divy when they are still growing enough that they need the cash to expand. Companies are hesitant to start paying divy's because it takes you out of the hip mover and shakers club and into a boomer stock but it should be where we want a company to go. Investors just have to understand that dividend paying stocks will always sell for significantly less but are a lot more stable and do a lot to increase investor wealth over the long term.
 
  • 5Like
  • 2Solidarity
Reactions: 6 users