I think this one -fucking over a bunch of shorts- is a big part of it. But that's the conspiratorial side of me. I tend to agree more with Blazin 's theory of sentimental market drivers over that when I look at things more rationally.There is no one reason. Lots of variables in play. My thoughts:
Central banks are starting to blink with rate hikes. This turns all eyes to Janet Powell.
Dollar finally starting to take a breather.
Share buyback blackout period ending.
Money flowing into AAPL (121m shares traded up 8%) who is now carrying the indexes.
After earnings fiascos early in the week some shorts got caught expecting AAPL to tank so we have some short covering on a Friday.
VIX down to 26
SPY 100 DMA beginning to show some signs of flattening.
Letter from Liberal Dems to WH telling him to talk peace with Russia.
10-yr yield has dropped from 4.2% to 4.0% in the last 5 days.
Bolded the 3 that are most significant.There is no one reason. Lots of variables in play. My thoughts:
Central banks are starting to blink with rate hikes. This turns all eyes to Janet Powell.
Dollar finally starting to take a breather.
Share buyback blackout period ending.
Money flowing into AAPL (121m shares traded up 8%) who is now carrying the indexes.
After earnings fiascos early in the week some shorts got caught expecting AAPL to tank so we have some short covering on a Friday.
VIX down to 26
SPY 100 DMA beginning to show some signs of flattening.
Letter from Liberal Dems to WH telling him to talk peace with Russia.
10-yr yield has dropped from 4.2% to 4.0% in the last 5 days.
Getting close enough to smell zero
a lot of people don't make it 5 years
Depending on how accurate a statement this is, you should see everything through this lens.
Well, I honestly don't have actual numbers. I doubt anyone does. Trolling glassdoor and job boards makes it seem like there's a ton of attrition, but you know how that goes: the people who left on bad terms are the most likely to post. The ones still working there keep their mouths shut.
It seems like it would be an awesome resume booster even to work there a few years, but it wouldn't be worth it if I lost my stock options. Not sure how the buyback thing works or if that gives me another option short term
Most companies do not have an all-or-nothing vesting period; usually you are given stock every year that takes five years to fully vest. The most common 5 year vesting number is 20% of it vests per year meaning after 3 years you would have 60% or so of it vested. You should ask that question up front and make sure you are satisfied with the answer, especially if it is a large chunk of the all-in compensation number. It is also worth asking what the option price is based on (flat dollar amount, number of shares at current price, etc).
Well, I honestly don't have actual numbers. I doubt anyone does. Trolling glassdoor and job boards makes it seem like there's a ton of attrition, but you know how that goes: the people who left on bad terms are the most likely to post. The ones still working there keep their mouths shut.
It seems like it would be an awesome resume booster even to work there a few years, but it wouldn't be worth it if I lost my stock options. Not sure how the buyback thing works or if that gives me another option short term
This is currently being discussed in /poll by tech folks who get this type of comp. Might want to bounce over there and ask.I know this probably isn't the thread for it, but this is where all the big brain finance people hang out so I'm going to post in anyway . Plus it does have relevance to equities, if peripherally.
May be getting a job offer from SpaceX in the near future. Not a sure thing but I need to start contemplating my options now before the offer.
Everyone knows they work you hard and pay under what many other cutting edge firms pay. Their answer to that is they give significant (I think) stock options. They don't vest for 5 years and a lot of people don't make it 5 years with SpaceX (but some obv do).
I've never had a job with stock options and I honestly don't know a ton about it. I also know that working for elon can be super volatile but also super lucrative and possibly rewarding. Anyone have thoughts?
My cousin has worked at SpaceX for ~10 years now (edit: mostly programming/modeling for flight control systems). If you have any specific questions I can try to get an answer for you. Feel free to PM.I know this probably isn't the thread for it, but this is where all the big brain finance people hang out so I'm going to post in anyway . Plus it does have relevance to equities, if peripherally.
May be getting a job offer from SpaceX in the near future. Not a sure thing but I need to start contemplating my options now before the offer.
Everyone knows they work you hard and pay under what many other cutting edge firms pay. Their answer to that is they give significant (I think) stock options. They don't vest for 5 years and a lot of people don't make it 5 years with SpaceX (but some obv do).
I've never had a job with stock options and I honestly don't know a ton about it. I also know that working for elon can be super volatile but also super lucrative and possibly rewarding. Anyone have thoughts?
Sorta cool. If I wasnt at the lifestage I am at, I had considered trying to get on with them.My cousin has worked at SpaceX for ~10 years now. If you have any specific questions I can try to get an answer for you. Feel free to PM.
My cousin has worked at SpaceX for ~10 years now. If you have any specific questions I can try to get an answer for you. Feel free to PM.
Taking this to PMs to not pollute forum.Honestly just trying to get a general read if anyone had solid info on working at SpaceX. It's hard to filter through the bullshit on the nets.
Any idea where he is located? I'd be in Hawthorne CA at HQ.
Yeah good call. Apologies for derailing the thread, but thanks for those who have given inputTaking this to PMs to not pollute forum.
Yep, I think the real question is, is this a full on bull trap and we fall a ton, or will it just be a consolidation as we march back up. I think it's unlikely we end next week above today's close.Really wishing I had sold my SPY going into the close, there's no way this can hold up next week without retreating a bit.