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Blazin

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I'm still bitter on this one. 1k share bid at $100.01 and missed fill by ~$1.50 , then thought I "missed the boat" .. here we are.
I got a small portion of move and there was a final dip to below $120 that I was stopped out and didn't reenter
 
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Sanrith Descartes

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Your dividend stocks are getting beat up as treasury rates increase. Zero risk for 3-6 month t-bills paying over 5%. Not as sexy as 7%, but you don't have capital risk on your investment either. So long as rates are increasing, there will be further downward pressure on these type stocks.

I trust you have your trade plan set out already though, and as you said, can make some more returns with selling CCs.
This isnt a long term play. I generally despise T from my decades working there. I think they jump on earnings in a few weeks. They dumped a ton of bad news with the HBO spinoff. Odds are I am out after earnings.
 
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Blazin

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This isnt a long term play. I generally despise T from my decades working there. I think they jump on earnings in a few weeks. They dumped a ton of bad news with the HBO spinoff. Odds are I am out after earnings.
Could be speaking out of turn but you should look at like the last 3-4 yrs of AT&T plays and see what the actual rate of return. I understand the strategy but my hunch is that it's not been worth it. You're comfortable playing the game with it but how many times have you actually held long enough to collect the divy or really work a call strategy. Perception can get off but seems like you have played AT&T into a bad hand at least 10 times, not saying you lost money on it each time but that the action primarily worked against you. I did the same with verizon for awhile until I really looked at it figured out it's just at best busy work.
 
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Sanrith Descartes

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Could be speaking out of turn but you should look at like the last 3-4 yrs of AT&T plays and see what the actual rate of return. I understand the strategy but my hunch is that it's not been worth it. You're comfortable playing the game with it but how many times have you actually held long enough to collect the divy or really work a call strategy. Perception can get off but seems like you have played AT&T into a bad hand at least 10 times, not saying you lost money on it each time but that the action primarily worked against you. I did the same with verizon for awhile until I really looked at it figured out it's just at best busy work.
I went back and checked my trade log. 1st, Your memory is quite amazing for someone of your advanced age. 10 trades exactly not counting this one. As to the results, the options were nearly a wash, small green. The long positions had one real dog which ate most of the small profits on the other trades. Ten trades netted me a 7% profit. Not worth it. Thank you for pointing it out. Sold out my long at $15.22
 
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ShakyJake

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This isnt a long term play. I generally despise T from my decades working there. I think they jump on earnings in a few weeks. They dumped a ton of bad news with the HBO spinoff. Odds are I am out after earnings.
Why not do a CALL option play? Thinking about gambling on that since it's relatively cheap.
 

Blazin

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I went back and checked my trade log. 1st, Your memory is quite amazing for someone of your advanced age. 10 trades exactly not counting this one. As to the results, the options were nearly a wash, small green. The long positions had one real dog which ate most of the small profits on the other trades. Ten trades netted me a 7% profit. Not worth it. Thank you for pointing it out. Sold out my long at $15.22
Anyone who trades enough falls into a pattern where there are certain names we are just "comfortable" with, and that normally equates to "has never really hurt me". We tend to then keep these unproductive names more than we should. At least for me, this increases as we feel our options for other good choices declines. Those low beta names are just the fat chick down at the bar that's always available when desperate enough but really isn't worth the time.
 
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Captain Suave

Caesar si viveret, ad remum dareris.
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There’s no way this could be industrialized to a scale where it can replace the consumption of animal meat. You probably need an extremely sterile and controlled environment to do it. I highly doubt this grown animal meat comes with a working immune system.

This take suffers from lack of imagination and faith in technology, IMO. Synthetic meat is coming eventually just based on the fact that 80-98% of the feed energy invested in farming animal meat is wasted by the time you get to the end product. I don't think that even includes transportation. Vat growth, advanced cell-level 3d printing, or whatever the eventual solution is will be many multiples more efficient. And yes, current attempts are bullshit but some day we'll get to the point where the synthetics are indistinguishable. The sterility isn't a problem, and is actually a feature in comparison to the vile biohazards that are current meat packing facilities.

Plus, if you can synthesize some meat you can print any meat. I bet white rhino, elephant, and T-rex burgers are delicious.
 
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ShakyJake

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What is people's opinion on Visa? It's been range bound and appears to be breaking out to the up side.

Weekly chart:
Screenshot 2023-07-11 183526.png
 

Blazin

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What is people's opinion on Visa? It's been range bound and appears to be breaking out to the up side.

Weekly chart:
View attachment 482034
Chart turned bullish back in Dec/Jan chart looks excellent. Next challenge is ATH, it's extended but that tends to happen during strong bullish moves. Based on technicals I'd say it's a buy
 
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Il_Duce Lightning Lord Rule

Lightning Fast
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Those low beta names are just the fat chick down at the bar that's always available when desperate enough but really isn't worth the time.
It's analysis like this from our most seasoned trader that makes the FoH Stonkhouse the value adding powerhouse that it is!
:emoji_chart_with_upwards_trend:
 
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Lambourne

Ahn'Qiraj Raider
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This take suffers from lack of imagination and faith in technology, IMO. Synthetic meat is coming eventually just based on the fact that 80-98% of the feed energy invested in farming animal meat is wasted by the time you get to the end product. I don't think that even includes transportation. Vat growth, advanced cell-level 3d printing, or whatever the eventual solution is will be many multiples more efficient. And yes, current attempts are bullshit but some day we'll get to the point where the synthetics are indistinguishable. The sterility isn't a problem, and is actually a feature in comparison to the vile biohazards that are current meat packing facilities.

Plus, if you can synthesize some meat you can print any meat. I bet white rhino, elephant, and T-rex burgers are delicious.

It's definitely promising technology. I've had a summer job on a poultry farms, there is a ton of work (and waste) involved in getting chickens to the point where the meat can be used. Many costs that can be eliminated. It probably won't replace higher end products like chicken filets or steaks at first but I'm sure it'll end up in fast food products as an added component much like the infamous pink slime (which the FDA has since relabeled as ground beef so it's not even required to be listed as a separate ingredient anymore).
 

Il_Duce Lightning Lord Rule

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Hey Blazin Blazin , what kind of a price target are you looking at for your IWM play? Just looking at it in the last 2+Y, the August '22 high was ~200, the March/April high was ~210, and the Jan high was ~225. I'm guessing you're not targeting the ATH of ~243 in Nov 21...
 

Sanrith Descartes

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Anyone have thoughts on UNH? It benefitted greatly from Covid as people cancelled elective surgeries. Its earnings are still strong AF. Its bouncing off support at $455 and if it breaks down It will start looking interesting. I am thinking the bad news about all those rescheduled surgeries should be pretty much baked in at this point.
 

ShakyJake

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So, riddle me this: the Fed has been raising interest rates over the past year+ to crush demand. But job growth has been decent or better. Earnings from the past year have also been decent or better.
So why has inflation dropped to now 3%?
 

Gravel

Mr. Poopybutthole
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Here you go. It's all energy and used cars. Everything else is still way up. Basically, the 3% is a bullshit number so the media can report on it. Fed hasn't tackled shit yet.

Untitled.png
 
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Sanrith Descartes

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Here you go. It's all energy and used cars. Everything else is still way up. Basically, the 3% is a bullshit number so the media can report on it. Fed hasn't tackled shit yet.

View attachment 482163
If you go back in this thread about 18 months you will see some of us discussing that interest rates needed to be 7-9% to resolve this. This soft landing shit was always a bad idea. One thing the FED excels at is bad ideas.
 

Gravel

Mr. Poopybutthole
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If you go back in this thread about 18 months you will see some of us discussing that interest rates needed to be 7-9% to resolve this. This soft landing shit was always a bad idea. One thing the FED excels at is bad ideas.
Yep, it's a repeat of the 70's. "Inflation is going down" so they'll ease up and start dropping rates by the end of the year. Inflation will come roaring back in another year or two even worse than it was. Repeat 3 or 4 times until you get a Volcker.
 
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