Investing General Discussion
- Thread starter Furious
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Khane
Got something right about marriage
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Haus
I am Big Balls!
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The white pill is the comparison at the bottom which compares the above and below 50 closes.. .
That takes into account all the non 2008 and 2020 time.
ToeMissile
Pronouns: zie/zhem/zer
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Lots of layers to add to this, the 'Great Recession' (Dec 07 - Jun '09) and 'Covid Recession' (early 2020 - ?) overlays those VIX dates too.
Blazin
Creative Title
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Probably a lot. The price is what it is, not sure me knowing the why of it changes it one way or the other.
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Rangoth
Blackwing Lair Raider
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I'm not sure I want them to at the moment. The volatility in this market has been great for swing trades.
Of course I'm biased because I've maybe had the best 2 months I've ever had....also had more time to monitor things/research due to life reasons. That will stop in mid-May when I'm forced into longer term trades.
The volatility in this market has been great for swing trades. Of course I'm biased because I've maybe had the best 2 months I've ever had....also had more time to monitor things/research due to life reasons. That will stop in mid-May when I'm forced into longer term trades.
Sanrith Descartes
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I want a retest of the bottom we had a week ago or so. I missed my fill on AMZN at $160. I'd probably buy more NVDA back at that low.
Asshat Foler
Log Wizard
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Furry
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I don't think much news for TSMC matters outside their growth outlook for 2027.
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Blazin
Creative Title
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At this point confidence has taken a hit, the market will move higher as that improves. Why it improves won't matter. Sometimes people get bored of doom, seller exhaustion. We aren't to that point yet, you'll know it when the market heads higher on bad news.
Not getting into politics but TDS plays a role here, libs are wealthy and orange man scares the shit out of them. People don't make risk on financial decisions when they are that scared. THe discussion of if they should be scared is irrelevant. This has been enough chaos to cause even the normally stalwart to become cautious and now daydream of fiery hellscapes.
It's why JPow matters, especially to that group, they need a guy on their side giving them confidence to invest and right now he is giving them nothing.
I try not to spend too much time on this type of why and what of it thinking, I trust that capital will want to find a home where it will be rewarded. That's going to be in risk assets. Ideology eventually will be pierced by something more primordial and that's greed. That could be 8 months away though.
In the nearer term corrective periods are still a cycle of vicious rallies, failure to make new highs, and make a new low and repeat until the above exhaustion dynamics come in. In a strong trend that doesn't take much and corrections are short. The market is behaving in a manner more consistent with a longer period of decline.
There is still time for the low to be in, but we must pressure the down trend line and soon. Red screens can suck but just have to take it a day at a time and pay attention to the price action week to week, not every 5m candle. We need a decent day today, no new lows, and then end the month challenging levels that pressure the down trend (5500-5600)
Not getting into politics but TDS plays a role here, libs are wealthy and orange man scares the shit out of them. People don't make risk on financial decisions when they are that scared. THe discussion of if they should be scared is irrelevant. This has been enough chaos to cause even the normally stalwart to become cautious and now daydream of fiery hellscapes.
It's why JPow matters, especially to that group, they need a guy on their side giving them confidence to invest and right now he is giving them nothing.
I try not to spend too much time on this type of why and what of it thinking, I trust that capital will want to find a home where it will be rewarded. That's going to be in risk assets. Ideology eventually will be pierced by something more primordial and that's greed. That could be 8 months away though.
In the nearer term corrective periods are still a cycle of vicious rallies, failure to make new highs, and make a new low and repeat until the above exhaustion dynamics come in. In a strong trend that doesn't take much and corrections are short. The market is behaving in a manner more consistent with a longer period of decline.
There is still time for the low to be in, but we must pressure the down trend line and soon. Red screens can suck but just have to take it a day at a time and pay attention to the price action week to week, not every 5m candle. We need a decent day today, no new lows, and then end the month challenging levels that pressure the down trend (5500-5600)
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Sanrith Descartes
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