NFL 2014 - 2015 Season Thread

Wombat

Wombat

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moontayle_sl said:
It's been ten years since we had a back-to-back champion.
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Actually, the stat is even crazier: I think the last Super Bowl winner that won evenone playoff gamethe next year was the 04 Patriots. It's part low motivation on your part (who wants to go through the work again), high motivation on their part (everyone wants to take out the king), and your usual salary cap issues (everyone wants to get paid).

It's not like those teams fell apart - a good chunk of them were even the #1 seed the next year - but the playoffs are a different beast.
 
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sebur

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I think the lack of motivation is the big thing. Most of them achieved what they wanted in winning a superbowl and then some even more so when they get paid after. I would think it would be pretty hard to stay motivated when you have essentially done everything you set out to do except maybe enter the hall of fame. I feel like a lot of teams make it by having 1 good thing happen that gets them in or they do something a little different that people aren't use to that then gets countered next year after they win. So many things things have to come together to win a superbowl and a portion of that is luck.
 
Ameraves

Ameraves

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I despise the Seahawks, but I think they have a realistic chance of repeating. That team is stacked and built to counter the pass happy league.
 
jooka

jooka

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If the refs keep up the penalties I'm not that sure you can call there secondary all that great. There strategy was pretty much commit a penalty every play playing percentages.
 
Gankak

Gankak

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jooka_sl said:
If the refs keep up the penalties I'm not that sure you can call there secondary all that great. There strategy was pretty much commit a penalty every play playing percentages.
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Know which team's starters was the only one not to get called for any of the leagues emphasis this off season? Brandon Browner was a grabber and will likely have an issue in NE. The Seahawks likely won't have any problem this season with the leagues new emphasis.
 
jooka

jooka

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Gankak_sl said:
Know which team's starters was the only one not to get called for any of the leagues emphasis this off season? Brandon Browner was a grabber and will likely have an issue in NE. The Seahawks likely won't have any problem this season with the leagues new emphasis.
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Ya and the 1st string gave up 150 yards or so and 3 TD's to Derek Carr on 13 attempts.
 
Ambiturner

Ambiturner

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sebur_sl said:
I think the lack of motivation is the big thing. Most of them achieved what they wanted in winning a superbowl and then some even more so when they get paid after. I would think it would be pretty hard to stay motivated when you have essentially done everything you set out to do except maybe enter the hall of fame. I feel like a lot of teams make it by having 1 good thing happen that gets them in or they do something a little different that people aren't use to that then gets countered next year after they win. So many things things have to come together to win a superbowl and a portion of that is luck.
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When you combine 32 teams, parity, and single elimination playoffs, it's really not surprising that repeats are rare
 
A

azeth

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jooka_sl said:
rrr_img_75393.jpg



I hand out $100's all the time, I don't need drugs to do it either.
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How much money is in his hands?

Apparently the height of a stack of 1000 american dollars is 4.3 inches. I'm guessing he has 6 inches worth of a stack... and the derby probably doesn't pay in 20s, those are hundreds.

Is he holding like $140,000?
 
edko

edko

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Grimmlokk_sl said:
*statistical citation needed

This is the kind of thing 538 needs to hit.


Debunking the Trap Game and Letdown Game Myths | The Harvard Sports Analysis Collective

We'll make this quick.

"Using Pro-Football-Reference?s wonderful game finder, I observed every game where a team above .500 played a below .500 team over the past 10 seasons (2002-2011). Over 1359 games, the above .500 team won 79.5% of the time. We must compare the above .500 team?s win percentage in trap games to this base rate of 79.5% in order to see if good teams lose at a statistically significantly higher rate.

Limiting the sample to our trap game definition (n=515), the above .500 team won 80.5% of the time, a full percentage point higher than in the full sample.Far from a losing more frequently, as we would expect by the trap game logic, good teams tend to do even better against worse teams the week before they play a good team.However, this difference is not statistically significant: a difference of means t-test yields a t-value of just 0.60. So we fail to reject the null hypothesis that good teams have a different win percentage in trap games than they do in any game against a sub-.500 team."
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But I believe it so it must be true...
 
Sutekh

Sutekh

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Azeth_sl said:
@ Sutekh:

Good breakdown for Sunday's Dolphins/Pats matchup.

rrr_img_75427.jpg
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Decent write up but feels like it was written by someone who hasn't really followed the pre-season and camps.

Knowshon had a really good second half of camp and pre-season, I wouldn't doubt the carries are going to be split 50/50 with him and Miller, same can be said for Jarvis Landry. I have to imagine he's going to get a shit ton of targets due to Revis being on Wallace. If Tanne/Wallace can finally get some synergy with the deep ball Revis will be in trouble. He'll most likely be on Wallace and he's had trouble defending the deep ball before, Wallace was arguably one of the best deep ball threats. Also I'm not 100% on this but Gronk said he would be good to play this weekend, but BB said it remains to be seen if he will. Not sure if that's just BB's douchebag media presence trying to keep people on their toes like he normally does or if that's actual truth. If he does play though Gronk is probably going to destroy us. Misi and Wheeler are our weakest links on defense and Misi will probably be on Gronk the entire game.

With that said, I predict the Dolphins win 84-0.
 
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