This game is honestly a pick em.
I still think the Patriots win comfortably, but they could get ran off the field themselves. If the Falcons score first though, or rack it up like against Green Bay early, its going to be hard for them to lose that game. But if Ryan throws an early pick, and the nervousness sets in, they are in big trouble.
These teams are very evenly matched, but whats crazy is it could be a blowout either way. It could also be a tight game given the Patriots Super Bowl history, so who knows. If Atlanta can get pressure and they blitz 40% of the time like they have been this postseason, the Patriots are in trouble. But Brady could also have one of his legendary type performances and overcome the blitz, instead picking it apart and exploiting the matchups downfield.
Atlantas run defense is also a question mark area. Like I said before Blount could end up with 180 yards rushing and a couple scores on 20 carries. James White or Deion Lewis could also have a breakout type performance and kill Atlanta in the screen game if Beasley and friends start coming off the edge too aggressively. Just so many possibilities.