The Big Bad Console Thread - Sway your Station with an Xboner !

Vaclav

Bronze Baronet of the Realm
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I'm positive they have stock saved for Japanese launch - they wouldn't have time to make more on the fly by now.

They are probably expecting over 1.4 mil sells in Japan in first week, Playstation is huge there.
The market although it sells alot per capita, isn't that big, 1m is probably more realistic with the other 400k being somewhere in transit for various reasons/held stock/etc
 

Knytestorme_sl

shitlord
532
0
Or in the MMO world - "The Belt (or insert other item here) from Quarm hasn't dropped in 32 kills, it's due to come up this time!"
hehehe yeah, though to be fair if we're just talking probs with a known drop rate then the (1-n)^X over 32 drops could mean it should have like 95% chance of dropping after so many attempts......but yeah, most people aren't thinking that, they're just going with fallacy
 

Vinyard_sl

shitlord
3,322
16
I'm tempted to buy Tomb Raider just because its something new to play (never picked it up on ps3). Getting kind of bored of Battlefield 4
 

mixtilplix

Lord Nagafen Raider
1,295
109
It's actually a really good game. Different enough from the other ones yet familiar enough. I was engaged the entire time.
 

Vaclav

Bronze Baronet of the Realm
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877
hehehe yeah, though to be fair if we're just talking probs with a known drop rate then the (1-n)^X over 32 drops could mean it should have like 95% chance of dropping after so many attempts......but yeah, most people aren't thinking that, they're just going with fallacy
Right, it's one of those ways that they're MOSTLY right with their thinking but applying it the wrong way. i.e. in the Quarm case it's due in the sense that over time it should even out, but at the same time its wrong to think it influences an individual event.

Ah, statistics what a fun time it can be over the simplest minutiae.
 

Antarius

Lord Nagafen Raider
1,828
15
lol. I'd feel stupid even asking that in an interview, I can't imagine what would happen if someone didn't answer it correctly. I know if I was asked that in an interview it'd take me a second to answer because I'd be so offended they asked.
I'd answer it's likely 100% chance that it will land on heads because if you're not using a trick coin we might as well have unprotected anal sex because we'd be be more likely to be struck by lightning while catching the hiv.
 

Tuco

I got Tuco'd!
<Gold Donor>
49,536
88,416
I'd answer it's likely 100% chance that it will land on heads because if you're not using a trick coin we might as well have unprotected anal sex because we'd be be more likely to be struck by lightning while catching the hiv.
You're HIRED!
 

Soygen

The Dirty Dozen For the Price of One
<Nazi Janitors>
28,573
45,202
Sounds about right. Looks like Pahcter's numbers were on target. Which would mean there's 1.4 million PS4's in the ether.
You really think if there was 1.4 million PS4's unsold, that Amazon wouldn't have a single one to sell? They are one of the largest retailers at this point.
 

Vorph

Silver Baronet of the Realm
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5,558
If they are all in boxes with Japanese printed on them... yes. They do release some on Amazon occasionally, it's just that they sell out almost instantly because people use websites to alert them as soon as new stock appears.
 

Soygen

The Dirty Dozen For the Price of One
<Nazi Janitors>
28,573
45,202
Oh, we're including stock for the Japanese launch in this discussion? Maybe I missed something here...
 

Vorph

Silver Baronet of the Realm
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5,558
Of course. The Japanese stock comes from the same manufacturing plant(s), so something has to give.

It's not like you can't get a PS4 today if you really want one. BestBuy will sell you a bare console right now for $399. Online-only, but as far as I can tell without actually placing the order they really are in stock and ready to ship.
 

Vaclav

Bronze Baronet of the Realm
12,650
877
Outlast got announced for PS4's freebie in the EU for February, so basically guaranteed to be the same here since PS4 has matched completely so far for PS+. (And for the PS3 it looks like they're basically getting the stuff we got last month - so nothing shining as a probable one for US PS+ to me)
 

Column_sl

shitlord
9,833
7
Consoles need to do something about there pricing, you can get Thief for 29 bucks discounted right now on a superior platform.

Pretty much the same with every cross platform game, they are always around half the prices on the PC, and you get a much better experience.
 

Vaclav

Bronze Baronet of the Realm
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877
"Better experience" is a highly subjective statement.... for people that don't want to bother with a $600+ machine it certainly won't be... those that hate having to bother with configuration nonsense won't be... some of those that don't want to hook a PC to a TV won't be... etc.

And PC software doesn't require licensing fees to the platform developer, there's always going to be a price difference since there's an extra hand in the till.
 

Column_sl

shitlord
9,833
7
Judging from that poll above, It looks like a good percentage of this board has a gaming rig...

So the people you are referring to are in the minority around these parts.


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