Investing General Discussion

Bounce coinciding with Fed Waller comments:

"Time to take action"
"Open to frontloading rate cuts"

Youre braver than I.

I am interpreting Fed comments as a bit of a kneejerk reaction. They are behind on cuts. The cuts are for the wrong reason. (Slowing labor / consumer)

Get those QQQ / SPY 5m candles above the 11am high and I will join you.

That's my intraday confirmation on this bounce.

VIX is not calming down.

Fantastic volume on the reverse candles though.

So..... yea, I also dumped that roll I posted yesterday of SPY:



It filled @ 7.39, over 30% gain!

We are hitting the resistance line of 542$ and already bounced off it once earlier today. I'm not super confident we will break it so wanted to take my profits. Agree with the rest of the group here in that I am not quite ready to jump back in either way at the moment.

New lows of day across indexes.

Watching for a reclaim or panic flush new leg down.

Bulls really need to assert themselves now, or this is turning into a bear flag for another leg down.

Especially with the VIX unrelenting.

Newsflash, Blazin is the plunge protection team.

Sanrith Descartes said:

NVDA approaching $100. That level fails then I can see a slide on down to low 90's.

Click to expand...

Here's my dip buy:

I missed buying back in on the Covid crash badly after a really well timed exit in Jan 2020. It has made me rethink strategy a lot over the years. It took me until the start of this year to really end up in the same spot as if I just held spy through the crash.

I now think the best strategy may just be to pick a point off the all time high and buy back in at that no matter what you think. Like qqq 30% off it’s high and buy no matter what.

my feeling there is most bear markets hit a -30 reliably and most don’t stay under that mark all that long if you wait until you feel good about the market you already miss the window.