I missed buying back in on the Covid crash badly after a really well timed exit in Jan 2020. It has made me rethink strategy a lot over the years. It took me until the start of this year to really end up in the same spot as if I just held spy through the crash.
I now think the best strategy may just be to pick a point off the all time high and buy back in at that no matter what you think. Like qqq 30% off it’s high and buy no matter what.
my feeling there is most bear markets hit a -30 reliably and most don’t stay under that mark all that long if you wait until you feel good about the market you already miss the window.